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ARC Caribbean 1500 - 11/16 10z - Forecast Update #16




November 16

Prepared: November 16 11:02z
FM: Weather Routing Inc. (WRI)

Synopsis: Good morning. A front extending from west of Bermuda SW'ward to the
central Bahamas will move SE'ward to the Turks/Caicos by tomorrow morning and
then by the evening of the 18th it will stall from the e'rn Dominican Republic
NE'ward to 24N/60W.

Broad ridging covers the region from Hispaniola E'ward to the n'rn Leeward
Islands and N'ward to 25N and this will change little through the 18th for the
waters near and north of the Virgin Islands.

Conclusions: The below forecast covers the S'rn Half of Grid II. Moderate
E-SE'ly breezes will persist through tonight, then ease a bit into tomorrow
morning as the higher trade winds shift E'ward ahead of a cold front. Squalls
will increase in coverage from west to east during the 17th and remain
scattered through the 18th, bringing locally higher winds and seas. E'ly swells
will slowly abate over the next 2 days.

II FORECAST:
16/12 GMT(T + 0): WINDS E-SE(90 - 135) 10-16 GUSTS 19KTS. SEAS 2-3 SWELLS
ENE-ESE 4-6FT (5SEC). SKIES CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS FROM
NE @ 0.8KTS.
17/00 GMT(T + 12): WINDS E-SE(90 - 135) 10-16 GUSTS 19KTS. SEAS 2-3 SWELLS
ENE-ESE 3-5FT (4SEC). SKIES CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS FROM
NE @ 0.6KTS.
17/12 GMT(T + 24): WINDS E-SE(90 - 135) 07-14 GUSTS 17KTS. SEAS 1-3 SWELLS
ENE-ESE 3-5FT (4SEC). SKIES MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHWRS/SQUALLS*.
CURRENTS FROM NNE @ 0.9KTS.
18/00 GMT(T + 36): WINDS E-SE(90 - 135) 08-15 GUSTS 20KTS. SEAS 1-3 SWELLS
ENE-ESE 3-5FT (8SEC). SKIES CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS FROM
NNE @ 1KTS.
18/12 GMT(T + 48): WINDS E-SE(90 - 135) 07-14 GUSTS 17KTS. SEAS 1-3 SWELLS
ENE-ESE/MIXED/NW 2-4FT (6SEC). SKIES CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHWRS/SQUALLS*.
CURRENTS FROM NNE @ 1.3KTS.
* WINDS AND SEAS HIGHER IN SQUALLS

Best Regards, Weather Routing Inc. (WRI)