|
GOOD DAY. WRI HAS DETECTED A DEVELOPING TROPICAL LOW AT 20/07Z, SUBTROPICAL LOW
#1 WAS CENTERED NEAR 23.2N 53.2W (APPROXIMATELY 825 NAUTICAL MILES SOUTHEAST OF
BERMUDA), WITH MOVEMENT NEARLY STATIONARY, WITH MAXWINDS 20-30KTS.
SUBTROPICAL LOW #1 IS STILL A RATHER BROAD SYSTEM, DEVOID OF INTENSE SQUALLS,
WHICH ARE IN FACT FOUND SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER.
CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT AS A SUBTROPICAL/TROPICAL
CYCLONE OVER THE NEXT 2-3 DAYS. A W-NW'WARD TRACK OF SUBTROPICAL LOW #1 IS
LIKELY OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS, FOLLOWED BY A N'WARD AND EVENTUAL NE'WARD TURN
AND INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IN LATER PERIODS.
FCST POSITIONS MAXWINDS GALE RADIUS (34KTS)
TIME LAT / LON (KNOTS) QUADRANTS - (NM)
---------------------------------------------------------
20/12Z: 23.1N 53.4W 20-30KTS NO SUSTAINED GALES
21/00Z: 23.8N 53.8W 20-30KTS NO SUSTAINED GALES
21/12Z: 25.1N 53.3W 25-35KTS NO SUSTAINED GALES
22/00Z: 26.0N 52.6W 30-40KTS NO SUSTAINED GALES
23/00Z: 28.3N 49.6W 35-45KTS 120NE 090SE 030SW 120NW
SUBTROPICAL LOW #1 IS NOT A DIRECT THREAT TO THE ARC CARIBBEAN 1500 RALLY, AS
THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO REMAIN EAST OF THE RACING GRID AREA. HOWEVER, THIS
SYSTEM WILL GENERATE ENHANCED NE'LY SWLS THAT WILL AFFECT GRID AREAS SOUTH OF
30N.
OTHERWISE, A LARGE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE COVERS MUCH OF THE W'RN ATLANTIC
ALONG AND WEST OF 60W, AND WILL MOVE LITTLE THROUGH THE 22ND, WITH WEAKENING OF
THE RIDGE LIKELY ON THE 22ND. THE RIDGE WILL THEN DRIFT E'WARD AND WEAKEN
FURTHER ON THE 23RD/24TH, AS A STRONG COLD FRONT MOVES E'WARD OFF THE U.S. EAST
COAST AND INTO ADJACENT WATERS WEST OF 60W.
CC VICINITY:
TODAY(MORN)(12 GMT): WINDS NE-E 18-26KTS. SEAS 3-5 SWLS NE-E
10-13FT (6SEC). SKIES PARTLY CLDY. SCATTERED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS FROM
W @ 0.2KTS.
EVENING(00 GMT): WINDS NE-E 16-24KTS. SEAS 3-5 SWLS NE-E
10-13FT (6SEC). SKIES PARTLY CLDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS FROM W
@ 0.2KTS.
TOM (21)(MORN)(12 GMT): WINDS NNE-ENE 14-22KTS. SEAS 2-4 SWLS
NE-E 9-12FT (6SEC). SKIES PARTLY CLDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS
FROM W @ 0.2KTS.
TOM EVENING(00 GMT): WINDS NNE-ENE 13-21KTS. SEAS 2-4 SWLS NE-E
9-12FT (5SEC). SKIES PARTLY CLDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS FROM W
@ 0.2KTS.
EE VICINITY:
TODAY(MORN)(12 GMT): WINDS NE-E 15-23KTS. SEAS 2-4 SWLS NE-E
8-11FT (6SEC). SKIES PARTLY CLDY. SCATTERED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS FROM W
@ 0.2KTS.
EVENING(00 GMT): WINDS NNE-ENE 15-23KTS. SEAS 2-4 SWLS NE-E
9-12FT (6SEC). SKIES CLDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS FROM W @
0.2KTS.
TOM (21)(MORN)(12 GMT): WINDS NNE-ENE 16-24KTS. SEAS 3-5 SWLS
NE-E 9-12FT (7SEC). SKIES CLDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS FROM W @
0.2KTS.
TOM EVENING(00 GMT): WINDS NE-E 15-23KTS. SEAS 3-5 SWLS NE-E
9-12FT (7SEC). SKIES CLDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS FROM W @
0.2KTS.
FF VICINITY:
TODAY(MORN)(12 GMT): WINDS NNE-ENE 21-29KTS. SEAS 4-6 SWLS
NNE-ENE 10-13FT (7SEC). SKIES PARTLY CLDY. SCATTERED SHWRS/SQUALLS*.
CURRENTS FROM W @ 0.2KTS.
EVENING(00 GMT): WINDS NNE-ENE 19-27KTS. SEAS 3-5 SWLS NNE-ENE
11-14FT (7SEC). SKIES CLDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS FROM W @
0.2KTS.
TOM (21)(MORN)(12 GMT): WINDS N-NE 18-26KTS. SEAS 3-5 SWLS
NNE-ENE 11-14FT (8SEC). SKIES CLDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS FROM
W @ 0.2KTS.
TOM EVENING(00 GMT): WINDS NNE-ENE 17-25KTS. SEAS 3-5 SWLS
NNE-ENE 10-13FT (8SEC). SKIES CLDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS FROM
W @ 0.2KTS.
HH VICINITY:
TODAY(MORN)(12 GMT): WINDS NNE-ENE 18-26KTS. SEAS 3-5 SWLS
NNE-ENE 9-11FT (7SEC). SKIES CLDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS FROM
W @ 0.2KTS.
EVENING(00 GMT): WINDS NNE-ENE 20-28KTS. SEAS 4-6 SWLS NNE-ENE
11-14FT (7SEC). SKIES PARTLY CLDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS FROM W
@ 0.2KTS.
TOM (21)(MORN)(12 GMT): WINDS N-NE 19-27KTS. SEAS 3-5 SWLS
NNE-ENE 11-14FT (8SEC). SKIES CLDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS FROM
W @ 0.2KTS.
TOM EVENING(00 GMT): WINDS NNE-ENE 19-27KTS. SEAS 3-5 SWLS
NNE-ENE 11-14FT (8SEC). SKIES CLDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS FROM
W @ 0.2KTS.
II VICINITY:
TODAY(MORN)(12 GMT): WINDS NNE-ENE 19-27KTS. SEAS 3-5 SWLS
NNE-ENE 10-13FT (7SEC). SKIES PARTLY CLDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*.
CURRENTS FROM W @ 0.2KTS.
EVENING(00 GMT): WINDS NNE-ENE 21-29KTS. SEAS 4-6 SWLS NNE-ENE
11-14FT (8SEC). SKIES PARTLY CLDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS FROM W
@ 0.2KTS.
TOM (21)(MORN)(12 GMT): WINDS NNE-ENE 18-26KTS. SEAS 3-5 SWLS
N-NE 12-15FT (8SEC). SKIES CLDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS FROM W
@ 0.2KTS.
TOM EVENING(00 GMT): WINDS NNE-ENE 17-25KTS. SEAS 3-5 SWLS N-NE
BUILD 10-15FT (8SEC). SKIES PARTLY CLDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS
FROM W @ 0.2KTS.
|