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WX November 19, 2011



WX November 19, 2011
November 19, 2011

GOOD DAY. SATELLITE THIS MORNING REVEALS THE COLD FRONT THAT WAS OFF OF THE 
EAST COAST YESTERDAY MORNING IS NOW FROM 25N/70W E-NE'WARD TO 30N/60W. BEHIND 
THIS FRONT, LOW LEVEL INSTABILITY IS OBSERVED AS COOLER CONTINENTAL AIR IS 
FLOWING OVER THE RELATIVELY WARM WATERS OF THE ATLANTIC TO GENERATE NUMEROUS 
LOW TO MID LEVEL CLOUDINESS AND EMBEDDED RAIN SHOWERS. 

HIGH PRESSURE CURRENTLY SOUTHEAST OF THE NEW ENGLAND COAST WILL RAPIDLY 
PROGRESS E'WARD THROUGH THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC TO JUST WEST OF THE AZORES BY LATE 
SUNDAY. ASSOCIATED RIDGING WILL EXTEND W-SW'WARD TO THE SE'RN COAST OF THE US. 
ANOTHER STRONG AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD TO THE GREAT LAKES BY SUNDAY 
NIGHT. IT WILL THEN MOVE NE'WARD INTO SE'RN ONTARIO BY MONDAY MORNING. AT THAT 
TIME, A COLD FRONT WILL BE SLOWLY MOVING S'WARD TO OFF OF THE S'RN COAST OF NEW 
ENGLAND. THESE AREAS OF HIGH PRESSURE AND ASSOCIATED RIDGING TO THE NORTH WILL 
SERVE TO ENHANCE E-NE'LY WINDS ACROSS MOST OF THE ATLANTIC WATERS INVOLVED IN 
THE RALLY, EXCEPT FROM NEAR THE CAROLINA COAST N'WARD (THE "AA" GRID), WHICH 
WILL BE NORTH OF THE RIDGE AXIS AND WILL SEE MORE OF A S'RN COMPONENT TO THE 
WIND.

WE ARE CONTINUING TO MONITOR AN AREA OF HEAVY SQUALLS NEAR 50W THIS MORNING FOR 
THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL LOW OVER THE WEEKEND. THE LATEST DATA 
CONTINUES TO SUGGEST THAT IF ANY TROPICAL/SUB-TROPICAL LOW IS TO DEVELOP OUT OF 
THESE SQUALLS, IT SHOULD STAY WELL EAST OF THE RALLY. IT'S MAIN IMPACTS WOULD 
LIKELY BE ENHANCED SWELLS WITH WINDS FRESHENING OUT OF THE NORTHEAST, 
PARTICULARLY IN THE SE'RN GRIDS LATER THIS WEEKEND. WE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR 
THIS CLOSELY AND WILL KEEP THE ARC CARIBBEAN 1500 RALLY WELL ADVISED OF ANY 
DEVELOPMENTS.

AA VICINITY FORECAST:
TODAY(MORN)(12 GMT):  WINDS S-SE(180 - 135)  06-14KTS.  SEAS 2-3  SWELLS 
E-NE/MIXED/SE  2-5FT  (9SEC).  SKIES PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. 
CURRENTS FROM W @ 0.2KTS.
EVENING(00 GMT):  WINDS S-SW(180 - 225)  08-16KTS.  SEAS 2-4  SWELLS E-SE  
2-5FT  (9SEC).  SKIES PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS FROM W @ 
0.2KTS.
TOM (20)(MORN)(12 GMT):  WINDS S-SW(180 - 225)  10-18KTS.  SEAS 1-3  SWELLS 
E-SE  1-4FT  (7SEC).  SKIES CLOUDY PATCHY FOG. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. 
CURRENTS FROM W @ 0.2KTS.
TOM EVENING(00 GMT):  WINDS WSW-WNW(248 - 293)  04-12KTS.  SEAS 1-3  SWELLS 
E-SE  2-5FT  (8SEC).  SKIES PARTLY CLOUDY.  SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS FROM W @ 
0.2KTS.

BB VICINITY:
TODAY(MORN)(12 GMT):  WINDS NE-E(45 - 90)  14-22KTS.  SEAS 3-4  SWELLS N-NE  
BUILD 5-9FT  (7SEC).  SKIES CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS FROM W @ 
0.2KTS.
EVENING(00 GMT):  WINDS NE-E(45 - 90)  14-22KTS.  SEAS 3-4  SWELLS NNE-ENE  
BUILD 4-8FT  (7SEC).  SKIES PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS 
FROM W @ 0.2KTS.
TOM (20)(MORN)(12 GMT):  WINDS ENE-ESE(68 - 113)  09-17KTS.  SEAS 2-4  SWELLS 
ENE-ESE  BUILD 4-8FT  (7SEC).  SKIES PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. 
CURRENTS FROM W @ 0.2KTS.
TOM EVENING(00 GMT):  WINDS ENE-ESE(68 - 113)  08-16KTS.  SEAS 1-3  SWELLS 
ENE-ESE  BUILD 4-8FT  (7SEC).  SKIES PARTLY CLOUDY.  SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS 
FROM W @ 0.2KTS.

CC VICINITY:
TODAY(MORN)(12 GMT):  WINDS NE-E(45 - 90)  18-26 GUSTS 30KTS.  SEAS 4-6  SWELLS 
N-NE  9-12FT  (5SEC).  SKIES PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS 
FROM W @ 0.2KTS.
EVENING(00 GMT):  WINDS NE-E(45 - 90)  19-27 GUSTS 31KTS.  SEAS 4-6  SWELLS 
ENE-NNE  9-12FT  (6SEC).  SKIES PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. 
CURRENTS FROM W @ 0.2KTS.
TOM (20)(MORN)(12 GMT):  WINDS NE-E(45 - 90)  14-22 GUSTS 26KTS.  SEAS 4-5  
SWELLS NE-E  8-11FT  (6SEC).  SKIES PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. 
CURRENTS FROM W @ 0.2KTS.
TOM EVENING(00 GMT):  WINDS NE-E(45 - 90)  13-21 GUSTS 25KTS.  SEAS 3-5  SWELLS 
NE-E  8-11FT  (6SEC).  SKIES CLOUDY.  SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS FROM W @ 0.2KTS.

DD VICINITY:
TODAY(MORN)(12 GMT):  WINDS NE-E(45 - 90)  14-22KTS.  SEAS 3-4  SWELLS NNE-ENE  
BUILD 5-9FT  (5SEC).  SKIES PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS 
FROM W @ 0.2KTS.
EVENING(00 GMT):  WINDS NE-E(45 - 90)  14-22KTS.  SEAS 2-4  SWELLS NE-E  BUILD 
4-8FT  (5SEC).  SKIES PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS FROM W @ 
0.2KTS.
TOM (20)(MORN)(12 GMT):  WINDS NE-E(45 - 90)  06-14KTS.  SEAS 1-3  SWELLS 
ENE-ESE  BUILD 3-7FT  (5SEC).  SKIES PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. 
CURRENTS FROM W @ 0.2KTS.
TOM EVENING(00 GMT):  WINDS NE-E(45 - 90)  10-18KTS.  SEAS 2-3  SWELLS ENE-ESE  
BUILD 3-7FT  (6SEC).  SKIES PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS 
FROM W @ 0.2KTS.

EE VICINITY:
TODAY(MORN)(12 GMT):  WINDS NE-E(45 - 90)  17-25 GUSTS 29KTS.  SEAS 3-5  SWELLS 
N-NE  BUILD 6-10FT  (5SEC).  SKIES PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. 
CURRENTS FROM W @ 0.2KTS.
EVENING(00 GMT):  WINDS NE-E(45 - 90)  14-22 GUSTS 26KTS.  SEAS 3-4  SWELLS 
NNE-ENE  BUILD 6-10FT  (6SEC).  SKIES CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS 
FROM W @ 0.2KTS.
TOM (20)(MORN)(12 GMT):  WINDS NE-E(45 - 90)  08-16KTS.  SEAS 2-4  SWELLS NE-E  
BUILD 7-11FT  (6SEC).  SKIES CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS FROM W @ 
0.2KTS.
TOM EVENING(00 GMT):  WINDS NE-E(45 - 90)  13-21KTS.  SEAS 3-5  SWELLS NE-E  
BUILD 7-11FT  (6SEC).  SKIES PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS 
FROM W @ 0.2KTS.

FF VICINITY:
TODAY(MORN)(12 GMT):  WINDS NNE-ENE(23 - 68)  16-24 GUSTS 28KTS.  SEAS 3-4  
SWELLS NE-E  BUILD 5-9FT  (5SEC).  SKIES PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED 
SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS FROM W @ 0.2KTS.
EVENING(00 GMT):  WINDS NNE-ENE(23 - 68)  19-27 GUSTS 31KTS.  SEAS 3-5  SWELLS 
NE-E  BUILD 7-11FT  (6SEC).  SKIES PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. 
CURRENTS FROM W @ 0.2KTS.
TOM (20)(MORN)(12 GMT):  WINDS NNE-ENE(23 - 68)  21-29 GUSTS 33KTS.  SEAS 4-5  
SWELLS NNE-ENE  BUILD 8-12FT  (7SEC).  SKIES PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED 
SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS FROM W @ 0.2KTS.
TOM EVENING(00 GMT):  WINDS NNE-ENE(23 - 68)  22-30 GUSTS 34KTS.  SEAS 4-5  
SWELLS NNE-ENE  BUILD 9-13FT  (7SEC).  SKIES CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. 
CURRENTS FROM W @ 0.2KTS.

GG VICINITY:
TODAY(MORN)(12 GMT):  WINDS NE-E(45 - 90)  15-23 GUSTS 27KTS.  SEAS 3-5  SWELLS 
NNE-ENE  BUILD 5-9FT  (7SEC).  SKIES PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. 
CURRENTS FROM W @ 0.2KTS.
EVENING(00 GMT):  WINDS NE-E(45 - 90)  14-22 GUSTS 26KTS.  SEAS 3-4  SWELLS 
NNE-ENE  BUILD 5-9FT  (7SEC).  SKIES PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. 
CURRENTS FROM W @ 0.2KTS.
TOM (20)(MORN)(12 GMT):  WINDS NE-E(45 - 90)  11-19 GUSTS 23KTS.  SEAS 3-4  
SWELLS NE-E  BUILD 4-8FT  (6SEC).  SKIES PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED 
SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS FROM W @ 0.2KTS.
TOM EVENING(00 GMT):  WINDS NE-E(45 - 90)  15-23KTS.  SEAS 3-5  SWELLS NE-E  
BUILD 6-10FT  (7SEC).  SKIES PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS 
FROM W @ 0.2KTS.

HH VICINITY:
TODAY(MORN)(12 GMT):  WINDS NE-E(45 - 90)  13-21KTS.  SEAS 3-4  SWELLS NE-E  
BUILD 4-8FT  (6SEC).  SKIES PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS 
FROM W @ 0.2KTS.
EVENING(00 GMT):  WINDS NE-E(45 - 90)  14-22 GUSTS 26KTS.  SEAS 3-4  SWELLS 
NE-E  BUILD 5-9FT  (6SEC).  SKIES PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. 
CURRENTS FROM W @ 0.2KTS.
TOM (20)(MORN)(12 GMT):  WINDS NE-E(45 - 90)  14-22KTS.  SEAS 3-4  SWELLS 
NNE-ENE  BUILD 6-10FT  (7SEC).  SKIES PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. 
CURRENTS FROM W @ 0.2KTS.
TOM EVENING(00 GMT):  WINDS NE-E(45 - 90)  17-25KTS.  SEAS 3-5  SWELLS NNE-ENE  
BUILD 7-11FT  (8SEC).  SKIES CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS FROM W @ 
0.2KTS.

II VICINITY:
TODAY(MORN)(12 GMT):  WINDS NNE-ENE(23 - 68)  17-25KTS.  SEAS 2-4  SWELLS 
NNE-ENE  BUILD 4-8FT  (6SEC).  SKIES CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS 
FROM W @ 0.2KTS.
EVENING(00 GMT):  WINDS NNE-ENE(23 - 68)  19-27 GUSTS 31KTS.  SEAS 3-5  SWELLS 
NNE-ENE  BUILD 7-11FT  (7SEC).  SKIES PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. 
CURRENTS FROM W @ 0.2KTS.
TOM (20)(MORN)(12 GMT):  WINDS NNE-ENE(23 - 68)  23-31 GUSTS 35KTS.  SEAS 3-5  
SWELLS NNE-ENE  BUILD 7-11FT  (7SEC).  SKIES PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED 
SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS FROM W @ 0.2KTS.
TOM EVENING(00 GMT):  WINDS NNE-ENE(23 - 68)  22-30 GUSTS 34KTS.  SEAS 3-5  
SWELLS NNE-ENE  BUILD 8-12FT  (8SEC).  SKIES PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED 
SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS FROM W @ 0.2KTS.

ZZ VICINITY:
TODAY(MORN/AFTN)(12 GMT):  WINDS ENE-ESE(68 - 113)  12-20 GUSTS 24KTS.  SEAS 
3-4  SWELLS NE-E  BUILD 6-10FT  (3SEC).  SKIES CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. 
CURRENTS FROM W @ 0.2KTS.
20/00 GMT:  WINDS ENE-ESE(68 - 113)  12-20KTS.  SEAS 2-4  SWELLS NE-E  BUILD 
4-8FT  (2SEC).  SKIES CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS FROM W @ 
0.2KTS.
TOM (20)(MORN/AFTN)(12 GMT):  WINDS ENE-ESE(68 - 113)  07-15KTS.  SEAS 2-4  
SWELLS ENE-ESE  BUILD 4-8FT  (2SEC).  SKIES PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED 
SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS FROM W @ 0.2KTS.
21/00 GMT:  WINDS ENE-ESE(68 - 113)  06-14KTS.  SEAS 2-3  SWELLS ENE-ESE  BUILD 
3-7FT  (2SEC).  SKIES CLEAR. CURRENTS FROM W @ 0.2KTS.