ARC Bahamas - 11/07 11z - Forecast Update #7

Prepared: November 07 11:38z
FM: Weather Routing Inc. (WRI)

Synopsis: High pressure over the E'rn Great Lakes with a ridge along the U.S.
East Coast e'ward to adjacent waters to 70W will move s'ward over W'rn North
Carolina on the morning of the 08th then move se'ward to near 29N/73W on the
morning of the 09th. The high will move e'ward to near 27N/59W on the morning
of 10th. The ridge will remain stationary through the 08th, then shift se'ward
and extend along 27N from 73W e'ward to 55W by overnight the 09th. The ridge
will shift e'ward and extend from 65W e'ward 50W on the 11th.

A strong low near 38N/66W will move se'ward and strengthen into a gale near
36N/65W tomorrow afternoon. The gale will drift e'ward to near 35N/61W by
evening of the 08th before accelerating to the northeast on the 09th. Low
pressure will develop over the e'rn Gulf of Mexico evening of the 09th and
track north of the Bahamas by the morning of the 10th. The low will gradually
strengthen while moving ne'ward to near 31N/84W by the morning of the 11th.

Conclusions: The latest current analysis indicates the center of a NE to SW
flowing current associated with the warm eddy extending from 35-00N/72-30W to
33-00N/73-45W, with speeds up to 1.5 kts. South of there, the currents outside
of the Gulf Stream will tend to become much more variable/chaotic in direction
and overall weaker. For the next 24 hours, winds in Grid AA will tend highest
in the E'rn Half of the Grid and for Grid DD will tend highest in the N'rn
portions of the grid. The below forecast for BB addresses average conditions
for the W'rn Half of the Grid; gale force sustained winds, higher gusts and
swells as high as 18-20 ft will occur in the E'rn Half of Grid BB through
tomorrow evening. Winds will steadily ease for all grids into the 09th, with
the lightest airs occurring in Grid JJ, GG and the S'rn halves of DD and EE.
Winds will gradually re-freshen from north to south for Grids AA,BB, DD and EE
from the 09th/12Z through 10th/12Z.

AA FORECAST:
07/12 GMT(T + 0): WINDS N-NE(0 - 45) 19-27 GUSTS 33KTS. SEAS 4-5 SWELLS
NNE-ENE BUILD 7-12FT (9SEC). SKIES PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*.
CURRENTS FROM SSW @ 2.4KTS.
08/00 GMT(T + 12): WINDS N-NE(0 - 45) 17-25 GUSTS 31KTS. SEAS 3-5 SWELLS
NNE-ENE BUILD 8-13FT (13SEC). SKIES MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*.
CURRENTS FROM SSW @ 2.1KTS.
08/12 GMT(T + 24): WINDS NNW-NNE(338 - 23) 12-20 GUSTS 24KTS. SEAS 2-4
SWELLS NNE-ENE BUILD 8-13FT (13SEC). SKIES PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED
SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS FROM SSW @ 2.1KTS.
09/00 GMT(T + 36): WINDS WNW-NNW(293 - 338) 07-15KTS. SEAS 1-3 SWELLS NE-E
BUILD 7-11FT (13SEC). SKIES PARTLY CLOUDY. CURRENTS FROM SSW @ 2.1KTS.
09/12 GMT(T + 48): WINDS WSW-WNW(248 - 293) 10-18 GUSTS 22KTS. SEAS 2-3
SWELLS NE-E BUILD 6-10FT (13SEC). SKIES PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED
SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS FROM SSW @ 1.7KTS.

BB FORECAST:
07/12 GMT(T + 0): WINDS NW-N(315 - 0) 21-30 GUSTS 37KTS. SEAS 4-6 SWELLS
N-NE BUILD 8-13FT (9SEC). SKIES PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*.
CURRENTS FROM E @ 0.3KTS.
08/00 GMT(T + 12): WINDS WNW-NNW(293 - 338) 22-31 GUSTS 37KTS. SEAS 4-6
SWELLS N-NE BUILD 10-15FT (12SEC). SKIES PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED
SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS FROM E @ 0.6KTS.
08/12 GMT(T + 24): WINDS WNW-NNW(293 - 338) 17-26 GUSTS 33KTS. SEAS 3-5
SWELLS N-NE BUILD 11-16FT (12SEC). SKIES PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED
SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS FROM E @ 0.5KTS.
09/00 GMT(T + 36): WINDS NW-N(315 - 0) 11-20 GUSTS 24KTS. SEAS 2-4 SWELLS
N-NE BUILD 9-14FT (12SEC). SKIES PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*.
CURRENTS FROM ESE @ 0.5KTS.
09/12 GMT(T + 48): WINDS NW-W-SW(315 - 225) 08-16KTS. SEAS 2-3 SWELLS N-NE
BUILD 7-11FT (12SEC). SKIES CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS FROM SE
@ 0.5KTS.

DD FORECAST:
07/12 GMT(T + 0): WINDS N-NE(0 - 45) 14-22 GUSTS 26KTS. SEAS 3-4 SWELLS
N-NE BUILD 5-9FT (8SEC). SKIES PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*.
CURRENTS FROM NNE @ 0.4KTS.
08/00 GMT(T + 12): WINDS N-NE(0 - 45) 14-21 GUSTS 24KTS. SEAS 3-4 SWELLS
N-NE BUILD 7-12FT (10SEC). SKIES PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*.
CURRENTS FROM NE @ 0.2KTS.
08/12 GMT(T + 24): WINDS N-NE(0 - 45) 08-17KTS. SEAS 2-3 SWELLS N-NE BUILD
8-12FT (13SEC). SKIES MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS FROM
NNE @ 0.2KTS.
09/00 GMT(T + 36): WINDS N-NW-W(0 - 270) 06-15KTS. SEAS 1-3 SWELLS NNE-ENE
BUILD 8-12FT (13SEC). SKIES MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS
FROM WNW @ 0.1KTS.
09/12 GMT(T + 48): WINDS W-SW(270 - 225) 07-16KTS. SEAS 1-3 SWELLS NNE-ENE
7-10FT (12SEC). SKIES PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS FROM W
@ 0.2KTS.

EE FORECAST:
07/12 GMT(T + 0): WINDS NNW-NNE(338 - 23) 14-22 GUSTS 25KTS. SEAS 3-4
SWELLS N-NE BUILD 6-10FT (9SEC). SKIES PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED
SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS FROM E @ 0.2KTS.
08/00 GMT(T + 12): WINDS NNW-NNE(338 - 23) 13-21 GUSTS 24KTS. SEAS 2-4
SWELLS N-NE BUILD 7-11FT (12SEC). SKIES PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED
SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS FROM E @ 0.1KTS.
08/12 GMT(T + 24): WINDS NW-N(315 - 0) 10-18 GUSTS 21KTS. SEAS 2-3 SWELLS
N-NE BUILD 8-12FT (13SEC). SKIES MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*.
CURRENTS FROM E @ 0.2KTS.
09/00 GMT(T + 36): WINDS NNW-NNE(338 - 23) 07-15KTS. SEAS 1-3 SWELLS N-NE
BUILD 8-12FT (13SEC). SKIES CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS FROM
SSE / WEAKKTS.
09/12 GMT(T + 48): WINDS NW-N(315 - 0) 05-10KTS. SEAS 1-2 SWELLS N-NE
8-11FT (13SEC). SKIES PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS FROM S
@ 0.1KTS.

GG FORECAST:
07/12 GMT(T + 0): WINDS NNE-ENE(23 - 68) 16-24 GUSTS 27KTS. SEAS 3-5 SWELLS
NNE-ENE 6-9FT (9SEC). SKIES PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS
FROM N / WEAKKTS.
08/00 GMT(T + 12): WINDS NNE-ENE(23 - 68) 15-22 GUSTS 24KTS. SEAS 3-4
SWELLS NNE-ENE 6-9FT (9SEC). SKIES CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS
FROM N @ 0.1KTS.
08/12 GMT(T + 24): WINDS NNE-ENE(23 - 68) 13-20KTS. SEAS 2-4 SWELLS N-NE
7-10FT (10SEC). SKIES PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS FROM
WNW @ 0.1KTS.
09/00 GMT(T + 36): WINDS NE-E(45 - 90) 10-18KTS. SEAS 2-3 SWELLS N-NE
7-10FT (13SEC). SKIES PARTLY CLOUDY. CURRENTS FROM NW @ 0.2KTS.
09/12 GMT(T + 48): WINDS ENE-ESE(68 - 113) 05-13KTS. SEAS 1-3 SWELLS N-NE
6-9FT (14SEC). SKIES PARTLY CLOUDY. CURRENTS FROM WSW @ 0.5KTS.

JJ FORECAST:
07/12 GMT(T + 0): WINDS NNE-ENE(23 - 68) 15-23KTS. SEAS 3-4 SWELLS NE-E
5-8FT (8SEC). SKIES PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS FROM S @
0.7KTS.
08/00 GMT(T + 12): WINDS NNE-ENE(23 - 68) 13-21KTS. SEAS 2-4 SWELLS NNE-ENE
5-8FT (9SEC). SKIES PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS FROM
SSW @ 0.5KTS.
08/12 GMT(T + 24): WINDS NNE-ENE(23 - 68) 07-16KTS. SEAS 1-3 SWELLS NNE-ENE
6-9FT (11SEC). SKIES PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS FROM S
@ 0.7KTS.
09/00 GMT(T + 36): WINDS NE-NW-W(45 - 270) 04-12KTS. SEAS 1-2 SWELLS
NNE-ENE 7-10FT (13SEC). SKIES PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*.
CURRENTS FROM SW @ 1KTS.
09/12 GMT(T + 48): WINDS WSW-WNW(248 - 293) 09-18KTS. SEAS 1-3 SWELLS NE-E
6-9FT (13SEC). SKIES PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS FROM
SSW @ 1.1KTS.
* WINDS AND SEAS HIGHER IN SQUALLS

Best Regards, Weather Routing Inc. (WRI)