ARC Bahamas - 11/06 12z - Forecast Update #6

Prepared: November 06 12:02z
FM: Weather Routing Inc. (WRI)

Synopsis: Low pressure offshore SW'rn Nova Scotia with a cold front SW'ward to
Delaware will track se'ward and strengthen into a gale near 38N/63W with the
cold front SW'ward to near 30N/67W tomorrow morning. The gale will track s'ward
to near 35N/63W tomorrow evening before moving ene'ward to near 36N/62W by the
morning of the 08th. The gale will turn ne'ward and accelerate to near 42N/57W
by the morning of the 09th.

High pressure over W'rn Lake Erie with a ridge se'ward to near 30N/67W will
move se'ward over W'rn North Carolina by the morning of the 08th. The ridge
will extend se'ward to near 25N/66W on the morning of the 08th. The ridge will
continue to shift SW'ward over the n'rn Bahamas on the 09th. Low pressure over
the N'rn Gulf of Maine with a cold front SW'ward offshore the Carolinas by
afternoon the 09th will move e'ward over W'rn Nova Scotia overnight the 09th.
The cold front will extend SW'ward to near 32N/75W overnight the 09th.

Conclusions: Basis the latest Gulf Stream analysis and the vessel's current
positions, suggest a waypoint of 35-00N/75-00W, followed by a RL -
32-30N/73-00W. This will also help take advantage of following currents within
a warm eddy centered near 33-30N/72-30W. Additionally, this type of route will
aid in keeping west of the larger N-NE'ly swells that will build from the gale
developing north of Bermuda during the next 2 days. To keep west of larger
N-NE'ly swell sets that will consistently exceed 12 ft, it is best to remain
west of 72W (i.e. remaining in grids AA and DD) from 07th/12Z through 09th/00Z,
with conditions improving thereafter. The largest of these NE'ly swells (i.e.
sets 12 ft+) will also be longer in period at intervals of 11-13 seconds on
average.

For Grid AA, the NW'ly winds will tend highest today over the N'rn and E'rn
sides of the grid, then will become more evenly distributed from 07th/00Z
through the 08th/00Z. For Grid BB, the below forecast focuses on average
conditions for the W'rn half of the Grid. Please note that winds and swells
will be even higher for the far N'rn and E'rn portions of the grids from
07th/00Z through the 09th/00Z (i.e. east of 70W and north of 33N), where gale
force winds will be more frequent and swells peak near 20 ft. For Grids DD
and EE, moderate to fresh N-NE'ly breezes with strong gusts will tend to be the
norm over the next 3 days, with the long period NE'ly swells peaking near 12-13
ft from the 08th/06Z through 09th/00Z, before abating.

AA FORECAST:
06/12 GMT(T + 0): WINDS WNW-NNW(293 - 338) 15-24 GUSTS 28KTS. SEAS 3-5
SWELLS NE-E/MIXED/N BUILD 4-8FT (7SEC). SKIES CLEAR. CURRENTS FROM SSW @
2.6KTS.
07/00 GMT(T + 12): WINDS NNW-NNE(338 - 23) 18-27 GUSTS 31KTS. SEAS 3-5
SWELLS N-NE BUILD 6-10FT (8SEC). SKIES PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED
SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS FROM SSW @ 2.2KTS.
07/12 GMT(T + 24): WINDS N-NE(0 - 45) 20-28 GUSTS 33KTS. SEAS 4-6 SWELLS
N-NE BUILD 7-12FT (8SEC). SKIES PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*.
CURRENTS FROM SSW @ 2.2KTS.
08/00 GMT(T + 36): WINDS N-NE(0 - 45) 18-26 GUSTS 30KTS. SEAS 3-5 SWELLS
NNE-ENE BUILD 8-13FT (9SEC). SKIES PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*.
CURRENTS FROM S @ 1.7KTS.
08/12 GMT(T + 48): WINDS NNW-NNE(338 - 23) 14-22 GUSTS 27KTS. SEAS 3-5
SWELLS NNE-ENE BUILD 8-13FT (10SEC). SKIES PARTLY CLOUDY. CURRENTS FROM SSW
@ 1.3KTS.

BB FORECAST:
06/12 GMT(T + 0): WINDS NNW-NNE(338 - 23) 14-22 GUSTS 28KTS. SEAS 3-5
SWELLS N-NE/MIXED/NW BUILD 4-8FT (7SEC). SKIES PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED
SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS FROM ESE @ 0.4KTS.
07/00 GMT(T + 12): WINDS WNW-NNW(293 - 338) 17-26 GUSTS 33KTS. SEAS 3-5
SWELLS NW-N BUILD 6-11FT (8SEC). SKIES MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED
SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS FROM ENE @ 0.3KTS.
07/12 GMT(T + 24): WINDS NW-N(315 - 0) 21-30 GUSTS 36KTS. SEAS 4-6 SWELLS
NNW-NNE BUILD 8-14FT (10SEC). SKIES CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHWRS/SQUALLS*.
CURRENTS FROM ENE @ 0.5KTS.
08/00 GMT(T + 36): WINDS WNW-NNW(293 - 338) 18-27 GUSTS 32KTS. SEAS 3-5
SWELLS NNW-NNE BUILD 10-15FT (12SEC). SKIES PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED
SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS FROM ENE @ 0.6KTS.
08/12 GMT(T + 48): WINDS NW-N(315 - 0) 18-27 GUSTS 32KTS. SEAS 3-5 SWELLS
N-NE BUILD 10-15FT (12SEC). SKIES MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*.
CURRENTS FROM ENE @ 0.3KTS.

DD FORECAST:
06/12 GMT(T + 0): WINDS NNE-ENE(23 - 68) 13-21 GUSTS 24KTS. SEAS 3-4 SWELLS
NNE-ENE BUILD 6-10FT (9SEC). SKIES MOSTLY CLOUDY. CURRENTS FROM NE @ 0.8KTS.
07/00 GMT(T + 12): WINDS N-NE(0 - 45) 15-23 GUSTS 26KTS. SEAS 3-5 SWELLS
NNE-ENE BUILD 5-9FT (7SEC). SKIES PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*.
CURRENTS FROM NE @ 0.6KTS.
07/12 GMT(T + 24): WINDS N-NE(0 - 45) 15-23 GUSTS 28KTS. SEAS 3-5 SWELLS
N-NE BUILD 6-10FT (8SEC). SKIES CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS
FROM NE @ 0.7KTS.
08/00 GMT(T + 36): WINDS N-NE(0 - 45) 15-23 GUSTS 26KTS. SEAS 3-5 SWELLS
N-NE BUILD 7-11FT (10SEC). SKIES MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*.
CURRENTS FROM NE @ 0.5KTS.
08/12 GMT(T + 48): WINDS N-NE(0 - 45) 11-19 GUSTS 24KTS. SEAS 2-4 SWELLS
N-NE BUILD 8-12FT (11SEC). SKIES CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS
FROM NE @ 0.4KTS.

EE FORECAST:
06/12 GMT(T + 0): WINDS NNE-ENE(23 - 68) 17-24 GUSTS 30KTS. SEAS 3-5 SWELLS
N-NE BUILD 7-11FT (9SEC). SKIES CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS
FROM E @ 0.2KTS.
07/00 GMT(T + 12): WINDS NNW-NNE(338 - 23) 15-23 GUSTS 28KTS. SEAS 3-5
SWELLS N-NE BUILD 6-10FT (8SEC). SKIES PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED
SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS FROM ESE @ 0.3KTS.
07/12 GMT(T + 24): WINDS N-NE(0 - 45) 13-21 GUSTS 25KTS. SEAS 3-4 SWELLS
N-NE BUILD 6-10FT (8SEC). SKIES CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS
FROM ENE @ 0.3KTS.
08/00 GMT(T + 36): WINDS N-NE(0 - 45) 14-21 GUSTS 26KTS. SEAS 3-4 SWELLS
N-NE BUILD 7-11FT (10SEC). SKIES PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*.
CURRENTS FROM E @ 0.1KTS.
08/12 GMT(T + 48): WINDS N-NE(0 - 45) 13-20 GUSTS 24KTS. SEAS 3-4 SWELLS
N-NE BUILD 8-12FT (12SEC). SKIES CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS
FROM E @ 0.2KTS.
* WINDS AND SEAS HIGHER IN SQUALLS