ARC 2016 Weather 06/12/2016

Synopsis: A large storm centered near 52N/37W will track WNW to 54N/45W thru tomorrow morning, and then remain nearly stationary thru the night of the 07th. An associated cold front extends SW from the Azores thru 25N/45W and will move E the next 2 days while weakening. High pressure centered near 30N/70W with ridging s across the e Caribbean Sea will move ESE to 26N/48W thru the 09 and weaken. A large low is forecast to be near Cape Hatteras tomorrow night and will track ESE to 34N/52W thru the 08/am while weakening to a broad low.On the 09, a new area of high pressure will build near the Azores on the 09 and will extend a ridge SW thru the E Caribbean. This ridging will become strong by the 11 and will remain strong thru the 14 as reinforcing high pressure moves SE from the NW Atlantic.

E-NE winds will tend to freshen across Zones QQ and RR thru the next 2-3 days with winds 13-18 kts with gusts in the low 20's. Winds higher around the Leewards due to funnelling between the Islands. N swell will build in the next 2-3 days as the high pressure ridging moves E reaching around 8 feet by late today thru tomorrow. Swell will tend to be long in period with short period swell around 7-8 seconds near the Leewards due to the funnelling winds and stacking along the shallows.

T = 06 DEC 0600 UTC

QQ:
T + 0: NE-E 13-18 GUSTS 20KTS. SEAS 3-4 SWELLS E-NE/MIXED/NW 4-6FT (11S). CLDY. ISLTD SHWRS*. CURRENT SW @ 0.6KTS.
T + 12: NE-E 12-17KTS. SEAS 2-3 SWELLS NNE-NNW/MIXED/NE 5-8FT (10S). PARTLY CLDY. ISLTD SHWRS*. CURRENT S @ 0.1KTS.
T + 24: ENE-ESE 15-20 GUSTS 23KTS. SEAS 3-5 SWELLS NNE-NNW/MIXED/NE 6-8FT (9S). CLDY. ISLTD SHWRS*. CURRENT SSW @ 0.6KTS.
T + 36: E-NE 15-20KTS. SEAS 3-4 SWELLS NNE-ENE 6-8FT (10S). CLDY. ISLTD SHWRS*. CURRENT SW @ 0.5KTS.
T + 48: E-NE 15-20KTS. SEAS 3-4 SWELLS NE-N/MIXED/NW 6-8FT (10S). PARTLY CLDY. ISLTD SHWRS*. CURRENT S @ 0.3KTS.

RR:
T + 0: NE-E 13-18 GUSTS 20KTS. SEAS 3-4 SWELLS NE-E 4-6FT (10S). CLDY. ISLTD SHWRS*. CURRENT E @ 0.8KTS.
T + 12: NE-E 15-20 GUSTS 25KTS. SEAS 3-5 SWELLS ENE-NNE 5-8FT (9S). PARTLY CLDY. ISLTD SHWRS*. CURRENT E @ 1.1KTS.
T + 24: NE-E 13-18 GUSTS 20KTS. SEAS 3-4 SWELLS NNE-NNW 6-8FT (10S). CLDY. ISLTD SHWRS*. CURRENT ESE @ 0.6KTS.
T + 36: NE-E 17-22 GUSTS 27KTS. SEAS 4-5 SWELLS NNE-NNW 6-8FT (11S). PARTLY CLDY. ISLTD SHWRS*. CURRENT E @ 1KTS.
T + 48: NE-E 17-22 GUSTS 27KTS. SEAS 4-5 SWELLS NE-E/MIXED/NW 6-8FT (11S). CLDY. ISLTD SHWRS*. CURRENT ESE @ 0.7KTS