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Caribbean 1500 WX, Nov 14



WRI WX Nov 14
14 Nov 2015

WEATHER ROUTING INC. IS PROUD TO BE THE OFFICIAL WEATHER
PROVIDER FOR THE ARC
CARIBBEAN 1500 RALLY
PREPARED: November 14 11:38z
FM: WEATHER ROUTING INC. (WRI)

Synopsis: A weakening cold front extends from near 35N/63W SW'ward
through S'rn Florida. The front will track E'ward to extend from 30N/60W
through the Bahamas on the 15th, then gradually dissipate while drifting
S'ward through the 17th.

Behind this front, large high pressure ridging across much of the SE'rn
U.S. will build e'ward over the next 24 hours, extending from the SE'rn
U.S. e¹ward to 65W and s'ward through the Bahamas by the morning of the
15th. Ridging will then expand further through the E'rn Caribbean through
the 17th as the high center moves E'ward from Cape Hatteras. Strong
ridging will be reinforced on the 18th-19th as another high pressure area
builds near Nova Scotia.

A weak trough of low pressure is now forecast to develop from Windward
Pass NE'ward over the Turks and Caicos on the 18th-19th. The trough is
forecast to drift W-SW'ward over Cuba/Jamaica through the 20th, with
minimal concerns for tropical development at this time.

Conclusion: With high pressure ridging building farther east and remaining
a dominant weather feature across W'rn Atlantic waters west of 60W over
the next 2-3 days, vessels within the fleet will no doubt have plenty of
wind as they proceed farther south, particularly in more southern zones as
noted below:

Across grids AA and BB, enhanced NW-N winds will persist today, though
will ease during tonight and the 15th as the axis of the ridge builds
farther east into these zone. NW-N swells will, in turn, abate, more so
tonight into the 15th as light NW-N winds persist.

Across Grid CC, these NW-N winds will be slower to ease, doing so on the
15th and 16th given the timing and slow progression of the ridge over
time. Large NW-N "fetch" will continue to bring larger NW-N swells during
the next 1-2 days.

Across Grids DD, EE, FF, and GG, NW-N winds will in fact veer and give way
to NE-E winds on the 15th and persist on the 16th. The placement of these
grids south of the ridge axis will yield enhanced pressure differences and
enhancement of NE-E'lys during the 15th/16th, particularly in waters south
of 30N, where winds near and in excess of 20kts are likely. General N'ly
swells today will give way to NNE-ENE swells during the 15th and 16th as
large NE-E "fetch" on the south side of the ridge prevails.


AA FORECAST:
14/12 GMT(T + 0): WINDS NW-N(315 - 0) 18-23 GUSTS 26KTS. SEAS 4-5
SWELLS NW-N 8-10FT (6SEC). SKIES PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED
SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS FROM SW @ 3KTS.
15/00 GMT(T + 12): WINDS NNW-NNE(338 - 23) EASE 20-13KTS. SEAS 4-2
SWELLS NW-N 6-8FT (7SEC). SKIES PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED
SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS FROM SW @ 2.6KTS.
15/12 GMT(T + 24): WINDS NNW-NNE(338 - 23) 08-13KTS. SEAS 2-3 SWELLS
NNW-NNE 3-5FT (8SEC). SKIES PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*.
CURRENTS FROM SSW @ 2.6KTS.
16/00 GMT(T + 36): WINDS NW-N(315 - 0) 06-11KTS. SEAS 1-2 SWELLS NW-N
2-4FT (2SEC). SKIES PARTLY CLOUDY. SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS FROM SSW @
2.6KTS.
16/12 GMT(T + 48): WINDS WNW-NNW(293 - 338) 06-11KTS. SEAS 1-2 SWELLS
NW-N 2-4FT (2SEC). SKIES PARTLY CLOUDY. SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS FROM
SSW @ 2.8KTS.

BB FORECAST:
14/12 GMT(T + 0): WINDS WNW-NNW(293 - 338) 15-20KTS. SEAS 2-4 SWELLS
WNW-NNW 8-10FT (6SEC). SKIES MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*.
CURRENTS FROM NNE @ 0.6KTS.
15/00 GMT(T + 12): WINDS NW-N(315 - 0) 13-18KTS. SEAS 2-3 SWELLS NW-N
6-8FT (6SEC). SKIES MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS
FROM WSW @ 0.1KTS.
15/12 GMT(T + 24): WINDS NW-N(315 - 0) 10-15KTS. SEAS 2-3 SWELLS NW-N
5-7FT (6SEC). SKIES CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS FROM ENE @
0.8KTS.
16/00 GMT(T + 36): WINDS NNW-NNE(338 - 23) 06-11KTS. SEAS 1-2 SWELLS
NW-N 4-6FT (6SEC). SKIES MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS FROM
SSE @ 0.2KTS.
16/12 GMT(T + 48): WINDS N-NE(0 - 45) 06-11KTS. SEAS 1-2 SWELLS
NNW-NNE 3-5FT (5SEC). SKIES MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS
FROM E @ 0.8KTS.

CC FORECAST:
14/12 GMT(T + 0): WINDS SW-W(225 - 270) 13-21 GUSTS 26KTS. SEAS 3-4
SWELLS WNW-NNW 6-8FT (5SEC). SKIES PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED
SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS FROM WSW @ 0.4KTS.
15/00 GMT(T + 12): WINDS NW-N(315 - 0) 13-18KTS. SEAS 2-3 SWELLS
WNW-NNW 6-8FT (6SEC). SKIES MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHWRS/SQUALLS*.
CURRENTS FROM ENE @ 0.5KTS.
15/12 GMT(T + 24): WINDS NNW-NNE(338 - 23) 12-17KTS. SEAS 2-3 SWELLS
NW-N 6-8FT (6SEC). SKIES MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*.
CURRENTS FROM NW @ 0.2KTS.
16/00 GMT(T + 36): WINDS N-NE(0 - 45) 10-15KTS. SEAS 2-3 SWELLS NW-N
5-7FT (7SEC). SKIES CLOUDY. SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS FROM E @ 0.6KTS.
16/12 GMT(T + 48): WINDS NNE-ENE(23 - 68) 07-12KTS. SEAS 1-2 SWELLS
NW-N 5-7FT (7SEC). SKIES CLOUDY. SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS FROM WNW @
0.1KTS.

DD FORECAST:
14/12 GMT(T + 0): WINDS N-NE(0 - 45) 13-18KTS. SEAS 3-4 SWELLS NNW-NNE
6-8FT (5SEC). SKIES PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS
FROM SSE @ 0.9KTS.
15/00 GMT(T + 12): WINDS N-NE(0 - 45) 13-18KTS. SEAS 3-4 SWELLS
NNW-NNE 6-8FT (5SEC). SKIES CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS
FROM ESE @ 0.2KTS.
15/12 GMT(T + 24): WINDS NNE-ENE(23 - 68) 10-15KTS. SEAS 2-3 SWELLS
N-NE 5-7FT (5SEC). SKIES CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS FROM
S @ 0.7KTS.
16/00 GMT(T + 36): WINDS NE-E(45 - 90) 06-11KTS. SEAS 1-2 SWELLS N-NE
4-6FT (5SEC). SKIES CLOUDY. SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS FROM SSE @ 0.3KTS.
16/12 GMT(T + 48): WINDS NE-E(45 - 90) 11-16KTS. SEAS 2-3 SWELLS
NNE-ENE 3-5FT (5SEC). SKIES CLOUDY. SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS FROM SSW @
0.5KTS.

EE FORECAST:
14/12 GMT(T + 0): WINDS SW-W(225 - 270) 06-11KTS. SEAS 1-2 SWELLS N-NE
5-7FT (7SEC). SKIES PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS
FROM E @ 0.4KTS.
15/00 GMT(T + 12): WINDS NW-N(315 - 0) 12-19KTS. SEAS 2-3 SWELLS
N-NE5-7FT (6SEC). SKIES PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHWRS/SQUALLS*.
CURRENTS FROM ESE @ 0.8KTS.
15/12 GMT(T + 24): WINDS N-NE(0 - 45) 16-21KTS. SEAS 3-4 SWELLS N-NE
6-8FT (6SEC). SKIES PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS FROM
E @ 0.8KTS.
16/00 GMT(T + 36): WINDS NNE-ENE(23 - 68) 17-22KTS. SEAS 3-4 SWELLS
N-NE 6-8FT (6SEC). SKIES PARTLY CLOUDY. SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS FROM
ESE @ 0.9KTS.
16/12 GMT(T + 48): WINDS NE-E(45 - 90) 17-22KTS. SEAS 3-4 SWELLS N-NE
6-8FT (6SEC). SKIES CLOUDY. SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS FROM E @ 0.8KTS.

FF FORECAST:
14/12 GMT(T + 0): WINDS E-SE(90 - 135) 03-08KTS. SEAS 1-2 SWELLS N-NE
4-6FT (7SEC). SKIES PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS
FROM WNW @ 0.2KTS.
15/00 GMT(T + 12): WINDS ENE-ESE(68 - 113) 03-08KTS. SEAS 1-2 SWELLS
N-NE 4-6FT (8SEC). SKIES CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS FROM
SSW @ 0.1KTS.
15/12 GMT(T + 24): WINDS NNE-ENE(23 - 68) 11-17KTS. SEAS 2-3 SWELLS
N-NE 5-7FT (5SEC). SKIES PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*.
CURRENTS FROM SW @ 0.1KTS.
16/00 GMT(T + 36): WINDS NNE-ENE(23 - 68) 17-22KTS. SEAS 3-4 SWELLS
N-NE 6-8FT (6SEC). SKIES PARTLY CLOUDY. SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS FROM
ESE @ 0.1KTS.
16/12 GMT(T + 48): WINDS NE-E(45 - 90) 17-22KTS. SEAS 3-4 SWELLS N-NE
6-8FT (6SEC). SKIES MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS FROM SSE @
0.1KTS.

GG FORECAST:
14/12 GMT(T + 0): WINDS ENE-ESE(68 - 113) 07-12KTS. SEAS 1-2 SWELLS
NE-E 2-4FT (2SEC). SKIES PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*.
CURRENTS FROM ESE @ 1KTS.
15/00 GMT(T + 12): WINDS NNE-ENE(23 - 68) 12-21KTS. SEAS 2-4 SWELLS
NNE-ENE 5-7FT (8SEC). SKIES PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*.
CURRENTS FROM ESE @ 1.3KTS.
15/12 GMT(T + 24): WINDS NE-E(45 - 90) 18-23KTS. SEAS 4-5 SWELLS
NNE-ENE 6-8FT (7SEC). SKIES PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*.
CURRENTS FROM ESE @ 1.4KTS.
16/00 GMT(T + 36): WINDS NE-E(45 - 90) 19-24KTS. SEAS 4-5 SWELLS
NNE-ENE 6-8FT (6SEC). SKIES CLOUDY. SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS FROM ESE @
1.3KTS.
16/12 GMT(T + 48): WINDS NE-E(45 - 90) 18-23KTS. SEAS 4-5 SWELLS
NNE-ENE 6-8FT (6SEC). SKIES CLOUDY. SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS FROM ESE @
1.3KTS.
* WINDS AND SEAS HIGHER IN SQUALLS

BEST REGARDS, WEATHER ROUTING INC. (WRI)

EMAIL: [email protected]
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