BVI to Florida 15 May 2015

PREPARED: MAY 15 09:34Z
FM: WEATHER ROUTING INC. (WRI)

SYNOPSIS: GOOD MORNING. THIS FORECAST IS FOR ARC USA LEG 1B FROM TORTOLA TO FORT LAUDERDALE VIA THE OLD BAHAMA CHANNEL.

A BROAD AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE CURRENTLY LOCATED OVER NEW ENGLAND WILL STRENGTHEN WHILE DRIFTING S'WARD, REACHING 30N/75W BY THE 18TH. RIDGING FROM THIS HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD S'WARD INTO THE BAHAMAS AND CARIBBEAN, EXTENDING BETWEEN THE LESSER ANTILLES W'WARD INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO. THIS RIDGE WILL REMAIN IN PLACE WHILE STRENGTHENING THROUGH THE 18TH, BEFORE WEAKENING ON THE 19TH AS THE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE BROADENS AND SHIFTS E'WARD INTO THE MID-ATLANTIC. FURTHER SOUTH, A STRONG THERMAL TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE IS LOCATED OVER NW'RN COLOMBIA. THIS TROUGH WILL STRENGTHEN THROUGH TOMORROW BEFORE GRADUALLY WEAKENING ON THE 16TH THROUGH THE 19TH WHILE REMAINING IN PLACE.

CONCLUSION: E'LY TRADES ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST, AVERAGING 15-20KTS THROUGH BOTH TODAY AND TOMORROW AS HIGH PRESSURE RIDGING PERSISTS ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN INTO FLORIDA, WITH THE HIGHEST WINDS FOUND IN THE S'RN PORTION OF THE RACE GRID WHERE WATERS ARE MORE OPEN AND EXPOSED TO THE EAST ABEAM THE OLD BAHAMA CHANNEL. SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN GENERALLY LESS THAN 6-7 FEET OUT OF THE E-SE THROUGH TOMORROW, WITH THE HIGHEST SEAS FOUND IN THE W'RN PART OF ZONE GULF ABEAM SOUTH OF FLORIDA. SQUALL ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN LOW THROUGHOUT TODAY AND TOMORROW, WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS AND SQUALLS POSSIBLE.

ZONE GULF FORECAST:
15/12 GMT(T + 0):  WINDS ENE-ESE(68 - 113)  14-19KTS. COMBINED SEAS  ENE-ESE  4-6FT  (2SEC).  SKIES CLEAR. CURRENTS FROM ENE @ 0.7KTS.
16/00 GMT(T + 12):  WINDS ENE-ESE(68 - 113)  14-19KTS. COMBINED SEAS E-SE  5-7FT  (2SEC).  SKIES PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS FROM NE @ 0.7KTS.
16/12 GMT(T + 24):  WINDS E-SE(90 - 135)  15-20KTS. COMBINED SEAS  E-SE  4-6FT  (2SEC).  SKIES MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS FROM ENE @ 0.6KTS.
17/00 GMT(T + 36):  WINDS ENE-ESE(68 - 113)  15-20KTS. COMBINED SEAS  SE-S  4-6FT  (2SEC).  SKIES MOSTLY CLOUDY. CURRENTS FROM NE @ 0.3KTS.
* WINDS AND SEAS HIGHER IN SQUALLS

BEST REGARDS, WEATHER ROUTING INC. (WRI)