ARC Europe Weather BVI-Bermuda 5 May

Synopsis: Large High pressure currently centered near 23N/43W, with moderate ridging extending W across Bahamas, and strong ridging extending SW across the E Caribbean Sea. High will slowly drift ENE to near 27N/27W by the morning of 08th, while ridging across the Caribbean to Florida and the Bahamas widens. An additional High pressure will emerge off the Carolinas, centered near 34N/73W by the morning of 08th.

Low currently centered over central N. Carolina extends a cold front SW across the Big Bend of Florida. Low will strengthen as it lifts NE to near 37N/67W through 06th, while the associated cold front extends SW across central and S'rn Florida Peninsula. The front will move E emerging off the East coast of the US on 07th moving towards Bermuda on the afternoon of 07th and then weaken across the central and S'rn Bahamas through morning of 08th.

A weak trough of low pressure currently extends across the E'rn and N'rn Caribbean Sea, is expected to change little in strength and location for the next 2-3 days.

Conclusion:
For Zone A, generally E-SE trade winds are expected to continue over the next 2-3 days as winds will typically average out around 15kts with swells building as large as 8 feet. However, these conditions are expected to improve over the next couple of days as ridging to the north broadens, causing lighter and more favorable conditions across the area.

Zones B and E will also tend to yield similar conditions over the next few days as winds will typically range between 15-20kts where in the next day or two, stronger winds will gust up to 25kts due to an approaching front. Nonetheless, swells are not expected to build as the front will remain just to the north of the zones where modest swell will remain across each zone.

Zone G will allow the lightest conditions of the 5 zones, as this area will typically remain under the influence of the broad high pressure ridge. This will cause winds to be between 10-15kts today, before lowering on average less than 10kts by the next 2 days. Swell is expected to be minimal.

Zone C as a large variation of conditions are expected in the north and south side of the zone. As a strong low moves to the north of Zone C, a front will sweep across the Zone on the 07th into the 08th. This will cause winds to first veer on the N'rn section of the zone before making its way south. Winds are expected to range from the lower end of ranges on the S'rn side of the zone and higher ends of the ranges on the N'rn side of the zone. Scattered squalls are expected especially with the front near by over the next few days.

ZONE A FORECAST:
All times in UTC/GMT
05/12 (T + 0): ENE-ESE(68 - 113) 15-21KTS. SEAS 3-4 SWELLS ENE-ESE 5-8FT (8SEC). MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQLLS. CRRNTS SE @ 0.4KTS.

06/00 (T + 12): ENE-ESE(68 - 113) 15-21KTS. SEAS 3-4 SWELLS ENE-ESE 5-8FT (8SEC). PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQLLS. SQLLS SE @ 0.5KTS.

06/12 (T + 24): ENE-ESE(68 - 113) 14-20KTS. SEAS 3-4 SWELLS E-SE 4-7FT (8SEC). PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQLLS. CRRNTS SE
@ 0.4KTS.

07/00 (T + 36): ENE-ESE(68 - 113) 13-19KTS. SEAS 2-3 SWELLS E-SE 3-6FT (8SEC). CLEAR. CRRNTS SE @ 0.6KTS.

07/12 (T + 48): E-SE(90 - 135) 12-18KTS. SEAS 2-3 SWELLS E-SE 3-6FT (8SEC). CLEAR. CRRNTS SE @ 0.5KTS.

ZONE B FORECAST:
05/12 (T + 0): SE-S(135 - 180) 11-17 GUSTS 20KTS. SEAS 2-4 SWELLS ESE-SSE 3-6FT (8SEC). PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQLLS. SQLLS WNW @ 0.6KTS.

06/00 (T + 12): SE-S(135 - 180) 10-16 GUSTS 20KTS. SEAS 2-4 SWELLS ESE-SSE 3-6FT (8SEC). CLEAR. CRRNTS WNW @ 1KTS.

06/12 (T + 24): SE-S(135 - 180) 10-16 GUSTS 21KTS. SEAS 2-4 SWELLS ESE-SSE 2-5FT (8SEC). PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQLLS. SQLLS WNW @ 0.7KTS.

07/00 (T + 36): SSE-SSW(158 - 203) 12-18 GUSTS 23KTS. SEAS 2-4 SWELLS ESE-SSE 2-4FT (7SEC). PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQLLS. CRRNTS W @ 0.9KTS.

07/12 (T + 48): S-SW(180 - 225) 14-20 GUSTS 25KTS. SEAS 3-5 SWELLS ESE-SSE 2-4FT (7SEC). PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQLLS. SQLLS WNW @ 0.8KTS.

ZONE C FORECAST:
05/12 (T + 0): SSW-WSW(203 - 248) 18-24 GUSTS 30KTS. SEAS 3-6 SWELLS SW-W BUILD 5-9FT (7SEC). CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQLLS. CRRNTS NW @ 0.5KTS.

06/00 (T + 12): SSW-WSW(203 - 248) INCREASE 18-28 GUSTS 35KTS. SEAS 4-7 SWELLS SW-W BUILD 5-9FT (6SEC). CLEAR. CRRNTS NW @ 0.6KTS.

06/12 (T + 24): SSW-WSW(203 - 248) INCREASE 18-28 GUSTS 40KTS. SEAS 5-8 SWELLS SW-W BUILD 6-10FT (6SEC). CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQLLS. CRRNTS NW @ 0.6KTS.

07/00 (T + 36): SW-W-NW(225 - 315) INCREASE 18-28 GUSTS 36KTS. SEAS 4-7 SWELLS WSW-WNW BUILD 7-11FT (6SEC). CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHWRS/SQLLS. CRRNTS NNW @ 1KTS.

07/12 (T + 48): SW-W-NW(225 - 315) 14-20KTS. SEAS 3-5 SWELLS W-NW BUILD 5-9FT (7SEC). MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQLLS. SQLLS NNW @ 0.6KTS.

ZONE G FORECAST:
05/12 (T + 0): SE-S(135 - 180) 09-15KTS. SEAS 2-3 SWELLS E-SE 3-6FT (8SEC). PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQLLS. CRRNTS SSE @ 0.5KTS.

06/00 (T + 12): SE-S(135 - 180) 10-16KTS. SEAS 2-3 SWELLS ESE-SSE 2-5FT (8SEC). PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHWRS. CRRNTS SSE @ 0.5KTS.

06/12 (T + 24): SSE-SSW(158 - 203) 09-15KTS. SEAS 2-3 SWELLS ESE-SSE 2-4FT (8SEC). MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHWRS. CRRNTS SE @ 0.5KTS.

07/00 (T + 36): SSE-SSW(158 - 203) 07-13KTS. SEAS 1-2 SWELLS E-SE 2-4FT (8SEC). PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHWRS. CRRNTS SSE @ 0.5KTS.

07/12 (T + 48): S-SW(180 - 225) 06-12KTS. SEAS 1-2 SWELLS E-SE 1-3FT (8SEC). MOSTLY CLOUDY. CRRNTS SE @ 0.6KTS.

ZONE E FORECAST:
05/12 (T + 0): S-SW(180 - 225) 12-18 GUSTS 22KTS. SEAS 2-4 SWELLS SE-S 4-6FT (8SEC). PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHWRS. CRRNTS W @ 0.3KTS.

06/00 (T + 12): S-SW(180 - 225) 14-20 GUSTS 25KTS. SEAS 3-5 SWELLS SE-S 4-6FT (8SEC). PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQLLS. CRRNTS NW @ 0.5KTS.

06/12 (T + 24): S-SW(180 - 225) 14-20 GUSTS 25KTS. SEAS 3-5 SWELLS SE-S 3-5FT (7SEC). PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQLLS. SQLLS W @ 0.4KTS.

07/00 (T + 36): SSW-WSW(203 - 248) 13-19 GUSTS 23KTS. SEAS 2-4 SWELLS SSE-SSW 3-5FT (7SEC). PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQLLS. CRRNTS NW @ 0.7KTS.

07/12 (T + 48): SW-W-NW(225 - 315) 12-18 GUSTS 22KTS. SEAS 2-4 SWELLS S-SW 3-5FT (8SEC). PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHWRS/SQLLS. CRRNTS W @ 0.2KTS.

ENDS