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ARC USA Weather May 5th



ARC USA Weather
Prepared: May 05 06:44z

Synopsis: Large High pressure currently centered near 23N/43W, with moderate ridging extending W across Bahamas, and strong ridging extending SW across the E Caribbean Sea. High will slowly drift ENE to near 27N/27W by the morning of 08th, while ridging across the Caribbean to Florida and the Bahamas widens. An additional High pressure will emerge off the Carolinas, centered near 34N/73W by the morning of 08th.

Low currently centered over central N. Carolina extends a cold front SW across the Big Bend of Florida. Low will strengthen as it lifts NE to near 37N/67W through 06th, while the associated cold front extends SW across central and S'rn Florida Peninsula. The front will move E emerging off the East coast of the US on 07th moving towards Bermuda on the afternoon of 07th and then weaken across the central and S'rn Bahamas through morning of 08th.

A weak trough of low pressure currently extends across the E'rn and N'rn Caribbean Sea, is expected to change little in strength and location for the next 2-3 days.

Conclusion: For Zone A, generally E-SE trade winds are expected to continue over the next 2-3 days as winds will typically average out around 15kts with swells building as large as 8 feet. However, these conditions are expected to improve over the next couple of days as ridging to the north broadens, causing lighter and more favorable conditions across the area.

Zone D and OBC will yield very favorable conditions over the next 2-3 days as swells that will range between 4-6 ft will lower over the next several days. Conditions are not expected to change much over the next few days. The lone exception is along the immediate N'rn coast of the Dominican Republic and Haiti where a diurnal effect of winds are expected. This will only be along the immediate coast as more offshore areas are expected to see lower conditions. Nonetheless, conditions will improve by tomorrow as ridging weakens across the area.

ZONE A FORECAST:
All times UTC/GMT
05/12 (T + 0): ENE-ESE(68 - 113) 15-21KTS. SEAS 3-4 SWELLS ENE-ESE 5-8FT (8SEC). MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQLLS. CRRNTS SE @ 0.4KTS.

06/00 (T + 12): ENE-ESE(68 - 113) 15-21KTS. SEAS 3-4 SWELLS ENE-ESE 5-8FT (8SEC). PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQLLS. CRRNTS SE @ 0.5KTS.

06/12 (T + 24): ENE-ESE(68 - 113) 14-20KTS. SEAS 3-4 SWELLS E-SE 4-7FT (8SEC). PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQLLS. CRRNTS SE @ 0.4KTS.

07/00 (T + 36): ENE-ESE(68 - 113) 13-19KTS. SEAS 2-3 SWELLS E-SE 3-6FT (8SEC). CLEAR. CRRNTS SE @ 0.6KTS.

07/12 (T + 48): E-SE(90 - 135) 12-18KTS. SEAS 2-3 SWELLS E-SE 3-6FT (8SEC). CLEAR. CRRNTS SE @ 0.5KTS.

ZONE D FORECAST:
05/12 (T + 0): E-SE(90 - 135) 16-22 GUSTS 26KTS. SEAS 3-5 SWELLS E-SE 4-7FT (8SEC). PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHWRS. CRRNTS S @ 0.1KTS.

06/00 (T + 12): E-SE(90 - 135) 14-20 GUSTS 23KTS. SEAS 3-5 SWELLS E-SE 4-7FT (7SEC). PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQLLS. CRRNTS WSW @ 0.1KTS.

06/12 (T + 24): E-SE(90 - 135) 16-22 GUSTS 25KTS. SEAS 3-5 SWELLS E-SE 4-7FT (7SEC). CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHWRS. CRRNTS NNE @ 0.2KTS.

07/00 (T + 36): E-SE(90 - 135) 12-18KTS. SEAS 2-4 SWELLS E-SE 3-6FT (6SEC). PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQLLS. CRRNTS WSW @ 0.1KTS.

07/12 (T + 48): E-SE(90 - 135) 10-16KTS. SEAS 2-3 SWELLS E-SE 3-6FT (6SEC). MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQLLS. CRRNTS N @ 0.3KTS.

ZONE OBC FORECAST:
05/12 (T + 0): E-SE(90 - 135) 14-20KTS. COMBINED SEAS ENE-ESE 4-7FT (6SEC). MOSTLY CLOUDY. CRRNTS S @ 0.9KTS.

06/00 (T + 12): E-SE(90 - 135) 12-18KTS. COMBINED SEAS ENE-ESE 3-6FT (6SEC). PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQLLS. CRRNTS SSE @ 0.8KTS.

06/12 (T + 24): E-SE(90 - 135) 11-17KTS. COMBINED SEAS ENE-ESE 3-6FT (6SEC). PARTLY CLOUDY. CRRNTS S @ 1.1KTS.

07/00 (T + 36): ENE-ESE(68 - 113) 09-14KTS. COMBINED SEAS ENE-ESE 2-5FT (6SEC). PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQLLS. CRRNTS S @ 0.9KTS.

07/12 (T + 48): ENE-ESE(68 - 113) 07-13KTS. COMBINED SEAS E-SE 2-5FT (6SEC). CLEAR. CRRNTS SSE @ 1.2KTS.

ENDS