Leg 1a - BVI to Bermuda - 09 May

Good Morning

SYNOP:
A BROAD AND POORLY ORGANIZED TROUGH EXTENDS FROM NEAR VIRGIN ISLANDS ENE TOWARD 25N/55W. WILL REMAIN WEAK THRU TONIGHT, THEN BEGIN TO STRENGTHEN IN PLACE N OF VIRGIN ISLANDS TOMORROW. THE AXIS OF BROAD RIDGING IS IN PLACE NEAR 30N. STRONGER RIDGING EXTENDS S TO VI'S AND W THRU BAHAMAS AND LITTLE CHANGE IS EXPECTED WITHIN THIS RIDGING THRU TOMORROW NIGHT. THE BROADER RIDGING ALONG 30N WILL REMAIN IN PLACE THRU TONIGHT, THEN EXPAND N TOMORROW AND TOMORROW NIGHT.

A COMPACT LOW NEAR 36N/68W WILL WEAKEN AND MOVES ESE TO NEAR 35N/63W BY TOMORROW MORNING. THE ASSOCIATED FRONT IS WEAK AND EXTENDS FROM THE LOW W-NW TOWARD DELMARVA.  FRONT WILL MOVE LITTLE TODAY, THEN DRIFTING TO N TOMORROW.

GUSTY AND PRIMARILY MODERATE-FRESH NE -E WINDS EXPECTED TO
PERSIST FROM  VI's TO 29N TODAY THRU MORNING OF 11TH AS THE AXIS OF BROAD HIGH PRESSURE RIDGING REMAINS NEAR 30N. SHORT-PERIOD NE -E SWELLS WILL PERSIST AND WILL GRADUALLY BUILD BETWEEN VI'S AND TORTOLA. THESE SWELLS WILL TEND HIGHEST IN OPEN WATERS N OF VI'S AND CONSIDERABLY LOWER DIRECTLY WEST OF ISLANDS.

FARTHER NORTH, WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO TEND E -SE IN S'RN PART OF ZONE C, NEAR 29N-30N, TODAY THRU THE MORNING OF 11TH. FROM NEAR 30N TO BERMUDA, WINDS WILL TEND SW -W TODAY AND THEN VEER TO NW OVERNIGHT TONIGHT INTO TOMORROW MORNING AS THE COMPACT LOW MOVES ESE WELL N AND E OF BERMUDA. WINDS THEN TEND NW -N BEHIND THE LOW LATER TOMORROW BEFORE TRANSITIONING TO SE TOMORROW EVENING THRU THE MORNING OF 11TH, IN ASSOCIATION WITH HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE. SHORT-PERIOD SWELLS ARE EXPECTED TO TEND NW -N IN ZONE C TODAY THRU THE MORNING OF 11TH, EXCEPT NEAR 29N-30N, WHERE SWELLS WILL LIKELY TEND N -NE .


ZONE A FORECAST:
TODAY(MORN 08LT)(T + 0): WINDS NE-E 17-22 GUSTS 25KTS. SEAS 3-4 SWELLS NE-E  5-7FT (2SEC). SKIES MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS FROM E @ 0.5KTS.

EVENING(20LT)(T + 12): WINDS NE-E 18-23 GUSTS 26KTS. SEAS 4-5 SWELLS NE-E 6-8FT (2SEC). SKIES MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS FROM ENE @ 0.4KTS.

TOM (10)(MORN 08LT)(T + 24): WINDS NE-E 19-24 GUSTS 27KTS. SEAS 4-5 SWELLS NE-E BUILD 6-10FT (3SEC). SKIES MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS FROM ENE @ 0.7KTS.

TOM EVENING(20LT)(T + 36): WINDS ENE-ESE 18-23 GUSTS 26KTS. SEAS 4-5 SWELLS NE-E 10-12FT (3SEC). SKIES CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS FROM E @ 0.4KTS.


ZONE B FORECAST:
TODAY(MORN 08LT)(T + 0): WINDS NE-E 12-17 GUSTS 20KTS. SEAS 2-3 SWELLS NE-E  5-7FT (4SEC). SKIES PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS FROM WNW @ 0.5KTS.

EVENING(20LT)(T + 12): WINDS NE-E 15-20 GUSTS 23KTS. SEAS 3-4 SWELLS NE-E 6-8FT (4SEC). SKIES PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS FROM N @ 0.5KTS.

TOM (10)(MORN 08LT)(T + 24): WINDS NE-E 15-20 GUSTS 23KTS. SEAS 3-4 SWELLS NE-E 5-7FT (4SEC). SKIES PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS FROM WNW @ 0.6KTS.

TOM EVENING(20LT)(T + 36): WINDS NE-E 18-23 GUSTS 26KTS. SEAS 4-5 SWELLS  NE-E 7-9FT (4SEC). SKIES PARTLY CLOUDY. CURRENTS FROM NNW @ 0.5KTS.



ZONE C FORECAST:
TODAY(MORN 08LT)(T + 0): WINDS SW-W/VARY/E 12-17 GUSTS 20KTS. SEAS 2-3 SWELLS NW-N 1-4FT (3SEC). SKIES PARTLY CLOUDY. CURRENTS FROM NNW @ 0.7KTS.

EVENING(20LT)(T + 12): WINDS VEER SW-W-NW 12-17 GUSTS 20KTS. SEAS 2-3 SWELLS W-NW 4-6FT (3SEC). SKIES PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS FROM NW @ 0.7KTS.

TOM (10)(MORN 08LT)(T + 24): WINDS NW-N/VARY/SE 08-13 GUSTS 16KTS. SEAS 2-3 SWELLS WNW-NNW LOWER 5-2FT (4SEC). SKIES MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS FROM NW @ 0.6KTS.

TOM EVENING(20LT)(T + 36): WINDS SE-S/VARY/SW 05-10 GUSTS 13KTS. SEAS 1-2  SWELLS WNW-NNW 1-3FT (4SEC). SKIES MOSTLY CLOUDY. CURRENTS FROM NNW @ 0.7KTS.

* WINDS AND SEAS HIGHER IN SQUALLS