Leg 1b - Portsmouth to Bermuda - 03 May

 PREPARED: MAY 03 09:26Z
FM: WEATHER ROUTING INC. (WRI)

THIS FORECAST IS FOR ARC EUROPE LEG 1B

SYNOPSIS:
GOOD MORNING. AN AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 31N/48W
AND HAS ASSOCIATED RIDGING SW'WARD TO HISPANIOLA. THIS WILL SHIFT E'WARD, AND
WILL EXTEND FROM 30N/35W SW'WARD TO PUERTO RICO ON THE 05TH. A FRONT IS NOW
LOCATED FROM S'RN FLORIDA NE'WARD TO 35N/70W. THIS FRONT WILL MOVE E'WARD, AND
WILL EXTEND FROM THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS NE'WARD TO 35N/55W ON THE 05TH.
AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE JUST EAST OF LAKE HURON EARLY ON THE 04TH WILL
STRENGTHEN WHILE MOVING ESE'WARD TO JUST SOUTH OF NOVA SCOTIA THROUGH THE 05TH.
AN ASSOCIATED FRONT WILL EXTEND SW'WARD TO THE N'RN CHESAPEAKE BAY ON THE
AFTERNOON OF THE 04TH, AND WILL MOVE SE'WARD, EXTENDING FROM 35N/70W NE'WARD TO
44N/58W LATER ON THE 05TH.

AN AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE LOCATED OVER THE N'RN GULF OF MEXICO ON THE
04TH, AND WILL BUILD A RIDGE EAST TO JUST NORTH OF THE BAHAMAS THROUGH LATER
THE 05TH.

CONCLUSIONS:
LATEST OBSERVATIONS DEPICT LIGHT AND MAINLY VARIABLE WINDS THIS
MORNING (THOUGH TENDING OUT OF THE W-SW) OVER THE S'RN CHESAPEAKE BAY AND
ADJACENT WATERS EAST OF CAPE HENRY. THIS WILL CONTINUE FOR ZONE I THROUGH THIS
EVENING, BEFORE SW'LY WINDS BEGIN TO FRESHEN A BIT AHEAD OF A TROUGH OF LOW
PRESSURE THESE HIGHER WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TOMORROW MORNING, WHILE
VEERING TO NW'LY. NW'LY WINDS WILL BE SHORT LIVED TOMORROW MORNING AS WINDS
QUICKLY BACK TO SW'LY BY MIDDAY AHEAD OF THE ABOVE MENTIONED FRONTAL BOUNDARY.
THEREFORE, ENHANCEMENT OF SEAS OVER THE GULF STREAM DUE TO THE NW'LY WINDS
TOMORROW MORNING WILL BE MINIMAL. HOWEVER, FROM OVERNIGHT 04TH INTO THE 05TH,
NW'LY WINDS WILL BECOME MUCH MORE ESTABLISHED AND ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST
THROUGH THE 05TH AFTERNOON BEFORE EASING; THIS WILL ALLOW FOR LOCALIZED SEAS TO
TEND ON THE UPPER END OF THE BELOW RANGES OVER THE GULF STREAM.

FOR ZONE F, PLEASE NOTE THE CONDITIONS WILL TEND TO VARY GREATLY IN THE N'RN
AND S'RN PORTIONS OF THE ZONE. FROM 03RD/12Z-04TH/00Z, THE HIGHER SW'LY WINDS
WILL BE CONFINED TO THE S'RN HALF, WITH WINDS MORE LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE
N'RN HALF. FROM 04TH/00Z-04TH/12Z, WINDS WILL INITIALLY BE STRONGEST OUT OF
THE SW'LY IN THE S'RN HALF OF THE ZONE, BUT WILL BECOME STRONGEST IN THE N'RN
HALF OF THE GRID LATER IN THE PERIOD AS WINDS VEER TO NW'LY AND HIGHER
GRADIENTS SHIFT NORTH. THIS WILL BE LIKEWISE BE THE CASE FOR 04TH/12Z-05TH/00Z
(WITH W'LY WINDS MUCH LIGHTER IN THE S'RN HALF OF THE ZONE). FRESH TO STRONG
(WITH NEAR GALE GUSTS) W'LY WINDS WILL BE PRESENT THROUGHOUT ZONE F FROM THE
05TH/00Z-12Z. SIGNIFICANT ENHANCEMENT OF SEAS OVER THE EXTREME NW'RN PORTIONS
OF ZONE F (WHERE THE GULF STREAM IS PRESENT) IS NOT EXPECTED DUE TO THE W'LY
NATURE OF THE WIND OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ZONE I FORECAST:

03/12 GMT(T + 0): WINDS WSW-SSW(248 - 203) 06-11 GUSTS 14KTS. SEAS 1-3
SWELLS ENE-ESE/MIXED/S 3-5FT (2SEC). SKIES MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED
SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS FROM NNE @ 0.2KTS.

04/00 GMT(T + 12): WINDS VEER SW-W-NW(225 - 315) 12-17 GUSTS 20KTS. SEAS 2-4
SWELLS S-SE/MIXED/SW 3-5FT (2SEC). SKIES PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHWRS.
CURRENTS FROM WNW @ 0.1KTS.
04/12 GMT(T + 24): WINDS BACK NW-W-SW(315 - 225) 13-18 GUSTS 24KTS. SEAS 2-4
SWELLS SSW-WSW 3-5FT (2SEC). SKIES PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*.
CURRENTS FROM NNW @ 0.4KTS.

05/00 GMT(T + 36): WINDS VEER SW-W-NW(225 - 315) 19-24 GUSTS 30KTS. SEAS 4-5
SWELLS S-SW/MIXED/NW 4-7FT (2SEC). SKIES PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED
SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS FROM SW @ 0.4KTS.

ZONE F FORECAST:

03/12 GMT(T + 0): WINDS S-SW/VARY/NE(180 - 225) 20-25 GUSTS 33KTS. SEAS 4-6
SWELLS S-SW BUILD 5-9FT (5SEC). SKIES MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED
SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS FROM ESE @ 0.4KTS.

04/00 GMT(T + 12): WINDS SW-W-NW(225 - 315) 18-23 GUSTS 32KTS. SEAS 4-6
SWELLS S-SW 5-8FT (4SEC). SKIES MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHWRS/SQUALLS*.
CURRENTS FROM SW @ 0.6KTS.
04/12 GMT(T + 24): WINDS WSW-WNW(248 - 293) 12-17 GUSTS 25KTS. SEAS 2-4
SWELLS SSW-WSW/MIXED/W 4-7FT (4SEC). SKIES MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED
SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS FROM SSE @ 0.8KTS.

05/00 GMT(T + 36): WINDS WSW-WNW(248 - 293) 18-23 GUSTS 31KTS. SEAS 3-5
SWELLS W-NW/MIXED/SW BUILD 5-9FT (4SEC). SKIES PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED
SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS FROM SSW @ 0.3KTS.

* WINDS AND SEAS HIGHER IN SQUALLS
BEST REGARDS, WEATHER ROUTING INC. (WRI)