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Bob Lorenzi
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23/10/2010 22:27:21
Australia, unusual weather... Subject: Australia, unusual weather...

I am in Bundaberg, Australia and have been watching weather trends using
grib files since October, 01. Normally October in Australia has wind from
the N.W 18%, north 15% and S.E., 22% of the time. Infrequent lows with a
path high enough to produce northerlies are passing too quickly, producing
wind of very short duration and either too strong or weak to consider
useful for beginning a passage between Australia and New Zealand. My main
complaint is that persistent, frequent highs are ambling across the Tasman
Sea with their centres following a path eastward at about 30 degrees south
between Sydney and Brisbane. The consequence is that from Brisbane north
light and variable easterly wind continues to blow onshore.

My visa expired October, 01. A bridge visa will keep me legal through
November, 01. Uncertainty regarding whether or not the elusive
northerlies will appear before a too-late start from Australia presents
the hazard of encountering an early cyclone has forced me to apply for a
new 1 year visa ($255, non-refundable application fee...). Meanwhile, I
wish I'd had in October, 2009 the wind anybody sailing to Australia from
New Caledonia in October, 2010 has. The 2009 passage took me twice as
long than when I made the same passage in 2000! Order of the day in 2009
was a sail to windward in predominately light wind. Lots of variables.
Anybody else in Australia waiting for favourable wind for a passage to New

Bob Lorenzi
S/V Armido
Home Port San Diego
Left Mexico April, 2009
Arrived Australia October, 2009 via the "milk run" (a participant in the
Pacific Puddle Jump)
Bundaberg, Australia
28/10/2010 23:20:41
New Caledonia to Oz Michael,

Jimmy Cornell, author of World Cruising Routes, recommends arriving in Australia before the end of October. He also cautions that a hazard of early cyclones exists mid-November.

Bob Lorenzi
28/10/2010 23:28:11
West Coast USA to Sydney, AUS. Now (Sept) to May. Steve,

Are you referring to Jimmy Cornell's World Routes guide? I don't have it in front of me at the moment but I am pretty sure leaving the West Coast of the U.S. in October/November is not recommended. Departures from the West Coast of the U.S. and Mexico usually take place after the Pacific Hurricane season ends. April.

Bob Lorenzi
28/10/2010 23:54:31
Sailing North along west coat of America Roland,

I sailed from Neah Bay, Washington to San Francisco, California in August, 2008. Most information I was able to garner before leaving Washington alerted me to the fact this passage could be at the very least challenging, if not a down right dangerous. Shipping my boat over the road was my first choice but had insufficient funds. No need to repeat the information Robin provided regarding why sailing a route far enough offshore is a good idea. A downside though is that the farther off shore you are the stronger the wind and bigger the waves. Having sailed the route "downwind" I would never undertake a passage from South to North. In my case wind was 35, gusting to 40 - waves 12'-14'. Granted, the diminutive size of my boat, 27' on deck figures into my thinking. Nearly broached once. I do not know whether a big wave or a broach was the cause, but I awoke after going below for a quick snooze with my boat 110 degrees from vertical. This happened after altering course from dead downwind onto a port tack with the wind 45 degrees aft of her beam. Thought I waited long enough, observed long enough to believe everything was copesthetic before going below. My position was about 80 n.m. west of Cape Mendocino, California. I can honestly say without reservation, after completing one global circumnavigation I have never experienced conditions approaching those encountered during this passage any place else...

If you can afford trucking your boat...

Bob Lorenzi
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