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WX ARC PLUS 2017 30 Nov



Synopsis: Good morning. Weak ridging currently exists between about 10-25N, and from the Lesser Antilles E towards 40W. Ridging will remain broad/weak thru the 02. A broad trough extending from Puerto Rico/Hispaniola NNE towards about 30N/65W will shift E thru tomorrow morning, with a weak low forming near 25N/65W. This low will strengthen while moving NE across 30N/55W thru the evening of the 02.


Conclusion: A combination of weak ridging across E areas, and weak "troughing" across W areas will result in persistent E-SE thru the next few days. Areas farther east (particularly in zone PP) will see mainly longer period N-NE swell, whereas areas farther west will see more mixing of this swell with shorter period SE sets. This will especially be the case across zone RR. The highest swell heights will be found later in the forecast period (by the 02), and highest in zone PP and the E part of QQ. SE sets will be most present across S parts of the zones.


T= 30 NOV 0600 UTC


PP FORECAST:

T + 0: NE-E(45 - 90) 11-16KTS. SEAS 1-3 SWELLS N-NE 3-6FT MSTLY CLOUDY. ISLTD SHWRS* E @ 0.6KTS.

T + 12: ENE-ESE(68 - 113) 12-17KTS. SEAS 1-3 SWELLS N-NE 3-6FT PRTLY CLOUDY. ISLTD SHWRS* ESE @ 0.7KTS.

T + 24: ENE-ESE(68 - 113) 13-18KTS. SEAS 2-3 SWELLS N-NE 3-6FT CLOUDY. ISLTD SHWRS* SE @ 0.4KTS.

T + 36: ENE-ESE(68 - 113) 14-19KTS. SEAS 2-3 SWELLS NNE-NNW 4-7FT PRTLY CLOUDY. ISLTD SHWRS*ESE @ 0.7KTS.

T + 48: ENE-ESE(68 - 113) 14-19KTS. SEAS 2-3 SWELLS NNE-NNW 6-8FT MSTLY CLOUDY. ISLTD SHWRS*ESE @ 0.7KTS.


QQ FORECAST:

T + 0: ENE-ESE(68 - 113) 12-17KTS. SEAS 2-4 SWELLS N-NE/MIXED/SE 4-7FT PRTLY CLOUDY. ISLTD SHWRS*SSE @ 0.4KTS.

T + 12: ENE-ESE(68 - 113) 12-17KTS. SEAS 2-3 SWELLS N-NE/MIXED/SE 4-7FT PRTLY CLOUDY. ISLTD SHWRS*SSE @ 0.4KTS.

T + 24: ENE-ESE(68 - 113) 13-18KTS. SEAS 2-3 SWELLS N-NE/MIXED/SE 4-7FT PRTLY CLOUDY. ISLTD SHWRS*SSE @ 0.4KTS.

T + 36: ENE-ESE(68 - 113) 13-18KTS. SEAS 2-3 SWELLS N-NE/MIXED/SE 4-7FT PRTLY CLOUDY. ISLTD SHWRS*SSE @ 0.5KTS.

T + 48: E-SE(90 - 135) 13-18KTS. SEAS 2-3 SWELLS N-NE/MIXED/SE 4-6FT PRTLY CLOUDY. ISLTD SHWRS*S @ 0.4KTS.


RR FORECAST:

T + 0: ENE-ESE(68 - 113) 13-18KTS. SEAS 2-3 SWELLS NNE-ENE BUILD 2-6FT MSTLY CLOUDY. SSE @ 0.2KTS.

T + 12: ENE-ESE(68 - 113) 13-18KTS. SEAS 2-4 SWELLS ENE-ESE 3-6FT MSTLY CLOUDY. E @ 0.2KTS.

T + 24: E-SE(90 - 135) 13-18KTS. SEAS 2-4 SWELLS E-NE/MIXED/SE 3-6FT PRTLY CLOUDY. ISLTD SHWRS*NE @ 0.2KTS.

T + 36: E-SE(90 - 135) 12-17KTS. SEAS 1-3 SWELLS E-NE/MIXED/SE 3-6FT PRTLY CLOUDY. ESE @ 0.2KTS.

T + 48: E-SE(90 - 135) 12-17KTS. SEAS 2-3 SWELLS E-NE/MIXED/SE 3-6FT MSTLY CLOUDY. ISLTD SHWRS*ESE @ 0.2KTS.

* WINDS AND SEAS HIGHER IN SQUALLS