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WX ARC 2017 26 Nov



Synopsis: Good morning. A large gale is located near 30N/25W with associated cold front extending SW across 15N/40W which will race NE thru tomorrow morning and weakening. An area of high pressure is located near 25N/50W with associated ridging extending SE across 15N/45W and SW across the E BVIs. Ridging is expected to persist thru the 28th while strengthening slightly as the high moves little E. A thermal trough is located along the W coast of Morocco which is expected to persist thru at least the 28th while strengthening gradually. An area of high pressure is located near 25N/50W with associated ridging extending SE across 15N/30W and SW across the E BVIs. Ridging is expected to persist thru the 28th while strengthening slightly as the high moves little E


Conclusion:


Zone AA: Conditions will improve across Zone AA over the next 48 hours as moderate to fresh SE ease into gentle to moderate breezes. Swells will gradually lower to 4-6ft and will remain long in period. Winds may be locally higher in between islands or abeam capes due to the localized funneling of winds.


Zone BB: Conditions will improve across Zone BB over the next 48 hours as fresh SW that may gust into the upper 20s ease into moderate SW that may gust into the low 20s. Swells will gradually lower to 5-7ft and will remain long in period.


Zone CC: Conditions will improve over the next 48 hours across Zone CC as moderate to fresh SW ease into moderate SW. Swells will gradually lower to 5-7ft and remain long in period.


Zone DD: Conditions will improve over the next 48 hours across Zone DD as moderate to fresh NW shift and ease into gentle to moderate SW by tomorrow evening. Swells will gradually lower to 5-7ft and will remain long in period.


Zone EE: Conditions will improve over the next 48 hours across Zone EE as moderate NE ease into gentle to moderate NE by this evening. Swells will gradually lower to 5-7ft and will remain long in period.


Zone JJ: Conditions will gradually improve across Zone JJ in the next 48 hours as gentle to moderate breezes continue at this time with long period swells gradually lowering to 5-7ft.


Zone II: Conditions will gradually improve across Zone II in the next 48 hours as gentle to moderate breezes continue at this time with long period swells gradually lowering to 5-7ft.


Zone HH: Conditions will gradually improve across Zone HH in the next 48 hours as gentle to moderate breezes continue at this time with long period swells gradually lowering to 4-6ft.


Zone NN: Conditions will remain moderately favorable for transit across Zone NN in the next 48 hours as gentle to moderate NE increase to moderate to fresh NE that may gust into the middle 20s by tomorrow morning. Swells will gradually lower to 5-7ft and remain long in period.


Zone GG: Conditions will remain relatively favorable across Zone GG in the next

48 hours as moderate to fresh N continue and may gust into the middle 20s at times. Winds may be locally higher while abeam capes along the African coast due to the localized funneling of winds. Swells will gradually lower to 4-6ft and remain long in period.


Zone MM: Conditions will remain relatively favorable across Zone MM in the next

48 hours as moderate to fresh N continue and may gust into the middle 20s at times. Winds may be locally higher while abeam capes along the African coast due to the localized funneling of winds. Swells will gradually lower to 5-7ft and remain long in period.


T=26 NOV 0600 UTC


AA FORECAST:

 T+0:S-SE(180 - 135) 14-19 GUSTS 24KTS. SEAS 2-4 SWELLS W-NW 6-8FT MSTLY CLOUDY. NE @ 0.3KTS.

 T+12:S-SE(180 - 135) 12-17 GUSTS 22KTS. SEAS 2-4 SWELLS W-NW 5-7FT MSTLY CLOUDY. NNW @ 0.2KTS.

 T+24:SE-E(135 - 90) 10-15 GUSTS 20KTS. SEAS 2-4 SWELLS W-NW 4-6FT CLOUDY. NE @ 0.3KTS.

 T+36:SE-E(135 - 90) 08-13 GUSTS 18KTS. SEAS 1-3 SWELLS W-NW 4-6FT PRTLY CLOUDY. NNW @ 0.2KTS.

 T+48:SE-E(135 - 90) 08-13 GUSTS 18KTS. SEAS 1-3 SWELLS W-NW 4-6FT MSTLY CLOUDY. NNE @ 0.4KTS.


BB FORECAST:

 T+0:S-SW(180 - 225) 18-23 GUSTS 28KTS. SEAS 3-5 SWELLS W-NW 9-11FT CLOUDY. ISLTD SHWRS* WSW @ 1.1KTS.

 T+12:S-SW(180 - 225) 18-23 GUSTS 28KTS. SEAS 3-5 SWELLS W-NW 8-10FT CLEAR. WSW @ 1KTS.

 T+24:SW-W(225 - 270) 17-22 GUSTS 27KTS. SEAS 3-5 SWELLS W-NW 7-9FT MSTLY CLOUDY. WSW @ 0.8KTS.

 T+36:SW-W(225 - 270) 15-20 GUSTS 25KTS. SEAS 3-5 SWELLS W-NW 6-8FT PRTLY CLOUDY. ISLTDSHWRS. W @ 0.9KTS.

 T+48:SW-W(225 - 270) 12-17 GUSTS 22KTS. SEAS 2-4 SWELLS W-NW 5-7FT MSTLY CLOUDY. W @ 0.7KTS.


CC FORECAST:

 T+0:SW-W(225 - 270) 15-20 GUSTS 25KTS. SEAS 3-5 SWELLS NW-N 10-12FT MSTLY CLOUDY. ISLTD SHWRS* NE @ 0.4KTS.

 T+12:SW-W(225 - 270) 15-20 GUSTS 25KTS. SEAS 3-5 SWELLS NW-N 8-10FT PRTLY CLOUDY. ISLTDSHWRS. NNW @ 0.4KTS.

 T+24:SW-W(225 - 270) 14-19 GUSTS 24KTS. SEAS 2-4 SWELLS NW-N 6-8FT MSTLY CLOUDY. ISLTD SHWRS* NE @ 0.4KTS.

 T+36:SW-W(225 - 270) 12-17 GUSTS 22KTS. SEAS 2-4 SWELLS NW-N 5-7FT MSTLY CLOUDY. ISLTDSHWRS. NW @ 0.3KTS.

 T+48:SW-W(225 - 270) 11-16 GUSTS 21KTS. SEAS 2-4 SWELLS NW-N 5-7FT PRTLY CLOUDY. NE @ 0.4KTS.


DD FORECAST:

 T+0:N-NW(0 - 315) 14-19 GUSTS 24KTS. SEAS 2-4 SWELLS N-NE 9-11FT MSTLY CLOUDY. ISLTD SHWRS* NNE @ 0.2KTS.

 T+12:N-NW(0 - 315) 12-17 GUSTS 22KTS. SEAS 2-4 SWELLS N-NE 8-10FT PRTLY CLOUDY. ISLTD SHWRS* ENE @ 0.2KTS.

 T+24:N-NW-W(0 - 270) 07-12KTS. SEAS 1-3 SWELLS N-NE 7-9FT PRTLY CLOUDY. ISLTD SHWRS* NE @ 0.1KTS.

 T+36:W-SW(270 - 225) 08-13KTS. SEAS 1-3 SWELLS N-NE 6-8FT PRTLY CLOUDY. ISLTD SHWRS* ENE @ 0.3KTS.

 T+48:W-SW(270 - 225) 10-15 GUSTS 20KTS. SEAS 2-4 SWELLS N-NE 5-7FT PRTLY CLOUDY. ISLTD SHWRS* E @ 0.1KTS.


EE FORECAST:

 T+0:N-NE(0 - 45) 11-16 GUSTS 21KTS. SEAS 2-4 SWELLS N-NE 7-9FT CLOUDY. NW @ 0.4KTS.

 T+12:N-NE(0 - 45) 09-14KTS. SEAS 1-3 SWELLS N-NE 6-8FT MSTLY CLOUDY. WNW @ 0.3KTS.

 T+24:NE-E(45 - 90) 07-12KTS. SEAS 1-3 SWELLS N-NE 5-7FT MSTLY CLOUDY. W @ 0.3KTS.

 T+36:NE-E(45 - 90) 07-12KTS. SEAS 1-3 SWELLS N-NE 5-7FT CLEAR. W @ 0.4KTS.

 T+48:NE-E(45 - 90) 09-14KTS. SEAS 1-3 SWELLS N-NE 5-7FT CLEAR. W @ 0.3KTS.


JJ FORECAST:

 T+0:NE-E(45 - 90) 10-15KTS. SEAS 2-4 SWELLS N-NE 7-9FT CLOUDY. ISLTDSHWRS. NW @ 0.1KTS.

 T+12:NE-E(45 - 90) 10-15KTS. SEAS 2-4 SWELLS N-NE 7-9FT PRTLY CLOUDY. ISLTDSHWRS. ESE @ 0.2KTS.

 T+24:NE-E(45 - 90) 11-16KTS. SEAS 2-4 SWELLS N-NE 6-8FT CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHWRS. WSW @ 0.1KTS.

 T+36:E-SE(90 - 135) 11-16KTS. SEAS 2-4 SWELLS N-NE 5-7FT MSTLY CLOUDY. ISLTD SHWRS* WSW / WEAKKTS.

 T+48:E-SE(90 - 135) 12-17 GUSTS 22KTS. SEAS 2-4 SWELLS N-NE 5-7FT PRTLY CLOUDY. ISLTD SHWRS* ESE @ 0.1KTS.


II FORECAST:

 T+0:NE-N(45 - 0) 05-10KTS. SEAS 1-3 SWELLS N-NE 7-9FT PRTLY CLOUDY. ENE @ 0.2KTS.

 T+12:N-NW/VARY/E(0 - 315) 06-11KTS. SEAS 1-3 SWELLS N-NE 6-8FT PRTLY CLOUDY. SSE @ 0.3KTS.

 T+24:E-SE(90 - 135) 08-13 GUSTS 18KTS. SEAS 1-3 SWELLS N-NE 6-8FT CLEAR. ESE @ 0.1KTS.

 T+36:E-SE(90 - 135) 08-13 GUSTS 18KTS. SEAS 1-3 SWELLS N-NE 5-7FT PRTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHWRS* SE @ 0.4KTS.

 T+48:E-SE(90 - 135) 08-13 GUSTS 18KTS. SEAS 1-3 SWELLS N-NE 5-7FT MSTLY CLOUDY. ISLTD SHWRS* SE @ 0.2KTS.


HH FORECAST:

 T+0:SW-W(225 - 270) 09-14 GUSTS 19KTS. SEAS 1-3 SWELLS NW-N 7-9FT CLOUDY. ISLTDSHWRS. NNE @ 0.4KTS.

 T+12:SW-W/VARY/SE(225 - 270) 07-12KTS. SEAS 1-3 SWELLS NW-N 6-8FT PRTLY CLOUDY. NNE @ 0.6KTS.

 T+24:SE-E(135 - 90) 08-13KTS. SEAS 1-3 SWELLS NW-N 6-8FT PRTLY CLOUDY. NNE @ 0.7KTS.

 T+36:E-NE(90 - 45) 10-15 GUSTS 20KTS. SEAS 2-4 SWELLS NW-N 5-7FT CLEAR. NNE @ 0.6KTS.

 T+48:E-NE(90 - 45) 12-17 GUSTS 22KTS. SEAS 2-4 SWELLS NW-N 4-6FT CLEAR. NNE @ 0.8KTS.


NN FORECAST:

 T+0:E-NE(90 - 45) 08-13KTS. SEAS 1-3 SWELLS NW-N 6-8FT PRTLY CLOUDY. ISLTDSHWRS. E @ 0.4KTS.

 T+12:E-NE(90 - 45) 09-14 GUSTS 19KTS. SEAS 1-3 SWELLS NW-N 6-8FT CLEAR. ESE @ 0.6KTS.

 T+24:E-NE(90 - 45) 14-19 GUSTS 24KTS. SEAS 2-4 SWELLS NW-N 5-7FT CLEAR. ESE @ 0.5KTS.

 T+36:E-NE(90 - 45) 15-20 GUSTS 25KTS. SEAS 3-5 SWELLS N-NE 5-7FT CLEAR. E @ 0.6KTS.

 T+48:E-NE(90 - 45) 14-19 GUSTS 24KTS. SEAS 2-4 SWELLS N-NE 5-7FT CLEAR. E @ 0.4KTS.


GG FORECAST:

 T+0:NW-N(315 - 0) 11-16 GUSTS 21KTS. SEAS 2-4 SWELLS N-NW 8-10FT CLOUDY. NNW @ 0.3KTS.

 T+12:N-NE(0 - 45) 10-15 GUSTS 20KTS. SEAS 2-4 SWELLS N-NW 7-9FT CLOUDY. NNE @ 0.2KTS.

 T+24:N-NE(0 - 45) 15-20 GUSTS 25KTS. SEAS 3-5 SWELLS N-NW 6-8FT CLOUDY. N @ 0.3KTS.

 T+36:N-NE(0 - 45) 13-18 GUSTS 23KTS. SEAS 2-4 SWELLS N-NW 5-7FT CLOUDY. ENE @ 0.3KTS.

 T+48:N-NE(0 - 45) 16-21 GUSTS 26KTS. SEAS 3-5 SWELLS N-NW 4-6FT CLOUDY. N @ 0.2KTS.


MM FORECAST:

 T+0:N-NE(0 - 45) 15-20 GUSTS 25KTS. SEAS 3-5 SWELLS N-NW 6-8FT MSTLY CLOUDY. ESE @ 0.1KTS.

 T+12:N-NE(0 - 45) 15-20 GUSTS 25KTS. SEAS 3-5 SWELLS N-NW 6-8FT MSTLY CLOUDY. NE @ 0.1KTS.

 T+24:N-NE(0 - 45) 15-20 GUSTS 25KTS. SEAS 3-5 SWELLS N-NW 6-8FT PRTLY CLOUDY. ESE @ 0.2KTS.

 T+36:N-NE(0 - 45) 14-19 GUSTS 24KTS. SEAS 2-4 SWELLS N-NW 5-7FT CLOUDY. SSE @ 0.4KTS.

 T+48:N-NE(0 - 45) 14-19 GUSTS 24KTS. SEAS 2-4 SWELLS N-NW 5-7FT MSTLY CLOUDY. S @ 0.2KTS.

* WINDS AND SEAS HIGHER IN SQUALLS