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ARC Europe Weather Bermuda-Azores 28 May 2018



Weather: Bermuda to Azores
Prepared: May 28 05:49UTC


Synopsis: A cold front extends SSW to 30N/55W in association with a storm near 53N/39W. This front will weaken as it moves E across Azores thru the 29th, as the storm weakens into a gale offshore of SE Greenland.

Moderate ridging extends E to near 10W, with broader ridging continuing E to Gibraltar from High centered near the Azores. High will drift S to 30N thru the 29th, then expected to drift slowly W to 34W by the 02nd as the ridge axis broadens as it shifts S across the Canaries.

By noon of 30th, a second cold front will extend SE to 40N/40W, then SW to 33N/65W in association with a large gale centered near 46N/47W. Gale is expected to drift S and stall near 40N by the 01st, while changing little in intensity as the cold front extends from 43N/43W SSW to 25N/55W.

Moderate ridging extends E to 45W in association with a second High S of Newfoundland. This high will broaden slightly as it tracks ENE to 45N/35W by the 29th.

Conclusion: A cold front will passes thru a majority of the grids over the next couple of days. The strongest SW winds will be seen across Grids LL, NN and PP, with moderate to freshening winds expected. As the cold front passes over the next couple days, expect winds to gust mainly into the middle to upper 20s across Grids LL, NN and PP, though winds will gust into the middle 30s across Grid LL later on the 30th as the second cold front approaches from the west. The wind gusts into the middle 20s will be brief across Grid PP, as the cold front is expected to weaken considerably by the time it reaches the Azores late 29th. Across the S'rn Grids MM and OO, winds will be more gentle to moderate with occasional gusts into the lower 20s as these two grids will see less of a SW enhancement from the cold front. The largest swell will be found across the N'rn Grids, LL, NN and PP, with swell mainly up to 8ft at times throughout the forecast period, with a few 9-11ft swell sets expected to build on the 30th, though swell will trend towards the higher ends of ranges across Grid LL. Some of these higher swell will work its way SE into Grid KK as well. Lighter swell will prevail across Grids MM and OO, with swell mainly at or below 7ft over the course of the forecast period.

T = time in UTC
Winds in knots

ZONE KK:
28/12 T + 0: S-SW 09-14 GUSTS 18KTS. SEAS 2-3 SWELLS WNW-NNW 2-5FT (5SEC). CLDY. ISLTD SHWRS/SQLLS. CRRNTS SSE 0.8KTS.
29/00 T + 12: SW-W 08-13 GUSTS 17KTS. SEAS 2-3 SWELLS W-NW 3-6FT (6SEC). MOSTLY CLDY. ISLTD SHWRS. CRRNTS SSE 0.4KTS.
29/12 T + 24: SSW-WSW 08-13 GUSTS 21KTS. SEAS 2-3 SWELLS W-NW 3-6FT (6SEC). PARTLY CLDY. ISLTD SHWRS/SQLLS. CRRNTS S 0.7KTS.
30/00 T + 36: SW-W 10-15 GUSTS 23KTS. SEAS 2-3 SWELLS W-NW 3-6FT (9SEC). PARTLY CLDY. ISLTD SHWRS/SQLLS. CRRNTS SSE 0.3KTS.
30/12 T + 48: SW-W 13-18 GUSTS 26KTS. SEAS 3-4 SWELLS WNW-NNW 4-7FT (9SEC). MOSTLY CLDY. ISLTD SHWRS. CRRNTS SSW 0.7KTS.
31/00 T + 60: SSW-WSW 14-19 GUSTS 27KTS. SEAS 3-4 SWELLS W-NW 5-8FT (12SEC). CLEAR. CRRNTS SSE 0.6KTS.

ZONE LL:
28/12 T + 0: W-NW-N 13-18 GUSTS 26KTS. SEAS 3-4 SWELLS SW-W 6-9FT (5SEC). CLDY. ISLTD SHWRS/SQLLS. CRRNTS WNW 0.5KTS.
29/00 T + 12: N-NE 14-19 GUSTS 27KTS. SEAS 3-4 SWELLS W-NW 5-8FT (6SEC). CLDY. ISLTD SHWRS/SQLLS. CRRNTS SE 0.4KTS.
29/12 T + 24: NE-E 13-18 GUSTS 26KTS. SEAS 3-4 SWELLS WNW-NNW 5-8FT (6SEC). CLDY. ISLTD SHWRS/SQLLS. CRRNTS ESE 0.1KTS.
30/00 T + 36: E-SE 14-19 GUSTS 27KTS. SEAS 3-4 SWELLS NW-N 6-9FT (9SEC). CLDY. ISLTD SHWRS/SQLLS. CRRNTS SSW 0.7KTS.
30/12 T + 48: SE-S 17-22 GUSTS 34KTS. SEAS 3-4 SWELLS NW-N/MIXED/SW BUILD 4-8FT (6SEC). CLDY. ISLTD SHWRS/SQLLS. CRRNTS SE 0.2KTS.
31/00 T + 60: S-SW 18-23 GUSTS 35KTS. SEAS 4-5 SWELLS SSW-WSW 8-11FT (11SEC). CLDY. ISLTD SHWRS/SQLLS. CRRNTS WSW 0.4KTS.

ZONE MM:
28/12 T + 0: SE-S 06-11KTS. SEAS 1-2 SWELLS WNW-NNW 2-5FT (8SEC). CLDY. ISLTD SHWRS. CRRNTS WSW 0.2KTS.
29/00 T + 12: SSW-WSW 07-12KTS. SEAS 1-2 SWELLS NW-N 2-5FT (5SEC). MOSTLY CLDY. ISLTD SHWRS. CRRNTS NW 0.4KTS.
29/12 T + 24: S-SW 08-13 GUSTS 17KTS. SEAS 2-3 SWELLS W-NW 3-6FT (5SEC). CLDY. ISLTD SHWRS. CRRNTS W 0.3KTS.
30/00 T + 36: SW-W 07-12 GUSTS 16KTS. SEAS 1-2 SWELLS WNW-NNW 3-6FT (9SEC). PARTLY CLDY. ISLTD SHWRS. CRRNTS N 0.5KTS.
30/12 T + 48: SSW-WSW 09-14 GUSTS 20KTS. SEAS 2-3 SWELLS W-NW 4-7FT (9SEC). MOSTLY CLDY. ISLTD SHWRS. CRRNTS NW 0.4KTS.
31/00 T + 60: SSW-WSW 09-14 GUSTS 22KTS. SEAS 2-3 SWELLS WNW-NNW 4-7FT (12SEC). MOSTLY CLDY. CRRNTS NNE 0.3KTS.

ZONE NN:
28/12 T + 0: SSW-WSW 13-18 GUSTS 26KTS. SEAS 3-4 SWELLS WSW-WNW 5-8FT (4SEC). CLDY. ISLTD SHWRS/SQLLS. CRRNTS WSW 0.5KTS.
29/00 T + 12: W-NW(270 - 315) 12-17 GUSTS 25KTS. SEAS 2-3 SWELLS WSW-WNW 5-8FT (4SEC). MOSTLY CLDY PATCHY FOG. ISLTD SHWRS/SQLLS. CRRNTS WSW 0.4KTS.
29/12 T + 24: NW-N-NE(315 - 45) 13-18 GUSTS 26KTS. SEAS 3-4 SWELLS W-NW 5-8FT (4SEC). CLDY. ISLTD SHWRS/SQLLS. CRRNTS W 0.1KTS.
30/00 T + 36: NE-E 12-17 GUSTS 22KTS. SEAS 2-3 SWELLS NW-N 6-9FT (9SEC). CLDY. ISLTD SHWRS/SQLLS. CRRNTS S 0.5KTS.
30/12 T + 48: ENE-ESE(68 - 113) 14-19 GUSTS 27KTS. SEAS 2-4 SWELLS NW-N 5-8FT (11SEC). CLDY. ISLTD SHWRS/SQLLS. CRRNTS S 0.2KTS.
31/00 T + 60: SE-S 12-17 GUSTS 25KTS. SEAS 2-3 SWELLS NW-N 4-7FT (11SEC). CLDY. ISLTD SHWRS/SQLLS. CRRNTS WNW 0.2KTS.

ZONE OO:
28/12 T + 0: E-SE 07-12KTS. SEAS 1-2 SWELLS NW-N 3-6FT (7SEC). MOSTLY CLDY. CRRNTS SE 0.6KTS.
29/00 T + 12: E-SE 07-12KTS. SEAS 1-2 SWELLS NW-N 2-5FT (6SEC). MOSTLY CLDY. CRRNTS SE 0.2KTS.
29/12 T + 24: SE-S-SW(135 - 225) 06-11KTS. SEAS 1-2 SWELLS NW-N 2-5FT (5SEC). MOSTLY CLDY. ISLTD SHWRS. CRRNTS SSE 0.5KTS.
30/00 T + 36: SW-W 07-12KTS. SEAS 1-2 SWELLS WNW-NNW 3-6FT (8SEC). CLDY. ISLTD SHWRS. CRRNTS SSE 0.2KTS.
30/12 T + 48: W-NW(270 - 315) 07-12 GUSTS 16KTS. SEAS 1-2 SWELLS WNW-NNW 4-7FT (9SEC). CLEAR. CRRNTS S 0.6KTS.
31/00 T + 60: WSW-WNW(248 - 293) 08-13 GUSTS 17KTS. SEAS 2-3 SWELLS WNW-NNW 4-7FT (10SEC). CLEAR. CRRNTS SSE 0.1KTS.

ZONE PP:
28/12 T + 0: SSW-WSW 09-14 GUSTS 18KTS. SEAS 2-3 SWELLS W-NW 2-5FT (4SEC). CLEAR. CRRNTS WSW 0.5KTS.
29/00 T + 12: SSW-WSW 11-16 GUSTS 24KTS. SEAS 2-3 SWELLS W-NW 4-7FT (4SEC). CLDY. CRRNTS WSW 0.2KTS.
29/12 T + 24: S-SW 12-17 GUSTS 25KTS. SEAS 2-3 SWELLS W-NW 4-7FT (3SEC). PARTLY CLDY. ISLTD SHWRS/SQLLS. CRRNTS WNW 0.4KTS.
30/00 T + 36: WSW-WNW/VARY/NE(248 - 293) 12-17 GUSTS 25KTS. SEAS 2-3 SWELLS W-NW 5-8FT (10SEC). CLDY. ISLTD SHWRS/SQLLS. CRRNTS WSW 0.2KTS.
30/12 T + 48: NE-E 10-15 GUSTS 19KTS. SEAS 2-3 SWELLS NW-N 5-8FT (9SEC). CLDY. ISLTD SHWRS. CRRNTS N 0.3KTS.
31/00 T + 60: ENE-ESE(68 - 113) 09-14 GUSTS 18KTS. SEAS 2-3 SWELLS NW-N 4-7FT (11SEC). CLDY. ISLTD SHWRS. CRRNTS W 0.2KTS.



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