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Wx BVI to Bermuda 11/05/2017



Good Morning.

Please ignore previous email and use this forecast.


Prepared: May 11 09:57z



A broad ridge HIGH PRESSURE from the Florida / N Bahamas E to 65W will move little and weaken thru 12th, then drift E on 13th.


Large complex LOW extends from S Canadian Maritimes S to 30N. Will move slowly NE strengthening gradually thru 13th. Associated front extends from Low SW to/across Bermuda and then W near 32N to N Carolina Coast.


New Low will develop today along the front just E of N Carolina and will strengthen / move E to near/just W of Bermuda by tomorrow morning, then weakening as it continues E thru tomorrow. The front will move SE across Bermuda thru midday tomorrow, then continuing SE thru am/13th. At that time, the front will extend from near 28N/63W NW to a new developing low near Norfolk VA.


Conclusion:

Zone B: Expect increasing winds today, with strongest in far N part of zone and will continue thru tonight with the stronger winds gradually spreading S thru the zone. By tomorrow night, the front will begin to drift into N part of zone, with W winds veering to N and easing on N side of front.


Zone C: Expect a wide range of wind speed and direction, especially thru this evening. The strongest W-SW winds will tend to be in S part of the zone on S side of the front and will steadily increase thru tonight and into tomorrow morning as the developing low approaches.  N of front, expect lighter NW-N-NE winds today. With approaching Low, front will temporarily move N across Bermuda by later tonight with a veering to the SW and a rapid/significant increase in winds into tomorrow morning. As the low passes and the front again shifts back to the S, the strong SW-W winds on the S side of the front will tend to shift back to the S while weakening thru tomorrow. Winds on the N of the front will veer to the NW-N following the frontal passage and steadily ease tomorrow thru tomorrow night.



ZONE B:


11/12 (T + 0):  W-SW 07-15 GUSTS 21KTS. SEAS 1-3 SWELLS NNE-ENE 3-5FT (12SEC). CLEAR. CRRNTS NE @ 0.6KTS.


12/00 (T + 12):  W-SW INCREASE 10-23 GUSTS 27KTS. SEAS 2-4 SWELLS W-SW/MIXED/NE 4-7FT (5SEC). CLEAR. CRRNTS NNE @ 0.5KTS.


12/12 (T + 24):  SW-W INCREASE 15-25 GUSTS 30KTS. SEAS 3-5 SWELLS W-SW/MIXED/NW BUILD 6-10FT (5SEC). PARTLY CLDY. CRRNTS NNE @ 0.5KTS.


13/00 (T + 36):  WSW-WNW/VARY/N EASE 22-12KTS. SEAS 2-4 SWELLS W-NW 7-10FT (6SEC). MOSTLY CLDY. ISLTED SHWRS/SQLLS.

CRRNTS N @ 0.4KTS.



ZONE C:


11/12 (T + 0):  W-SW/VARY/N INCREASE 15-25 GUSTS 29KTS. SEAS 3-5 SWELLS NNE-ENE/MIXED/W 5-7FT (5SEC). CLDY. ISOLATED SHWRS.

CRRNTS SE @ 0.4KTS.


12/00 (T + 12):  WSW-SSW INCREASE 20-32 GUSTS 37KTS. SEAS 4-6 SWELLS W-SW 6-9FT (6SEC). CLDY. SHWRS/SQLLS. CRRNTS NNW @ 0.4KTS.


12/12 (T + 24):  SW-W-NW EASE 32-20KTS. SEAS 4-6 SWELLS W-SW/MIXED/NW 8-11FT (3SEC). CLDY. SHWRS/SQLLS. CRRNTS E @ 0.5KTS.


13/00 (T + 36):  NW-N EASE 20-10KTS. SEAS 2-4 SWELLS W-NW LOWER 10-6FT (6SEC). PARTLY CLDY. CRRNTS N @ 0.2KTS.


ENDS