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Wx BVI to Bermuda 09/05/2017



Good Morning.


Prepared: May 09 10:02z


Synop:

Front extends from 35N/60W SW to E of Bermuda to near Turks/Caicos. Will weaken as it drifts E-SE and by tomorrow morning will stall near 32N/55W SW to near Mona Pass then dissipate tomorrow.


A second front extends from a developing low NE of Bermuda near 38N/62W SW to near 34N/70W and then W-NW to North Carolina coast. Front will move little thru tonight as another low develops along the front that will be located near 37N/68W by tomorrow morning. The low will strengthen as it moves E-NE, passing to North of Bermuda. This will push the front SE so that by late 10th front will be located over/near Bermuda W along/near 32N.


Conclusion: A pair of fronts will affect Zones B and C over the next couple of days. The first is the same front that has been producing the showers/SQLS and that is weakening. Moderate S'lys E of the front have been yielding to lighter NW-N wind on the W side. The second front will be approaching Bermuda from the NW and the effects of this front will be most significant across Zone C.


Zone B: Moderate S'lys on the east side of the front cover most of the zone this morning. As the front progresses slowly E'ward, NW-N winds on the west side will expand across half of the Zone thru tonight. The N'lys will then weaken tomorrow, with a W'ly component tending to develop across the N'rn part of the Zone tomorrow night (ahead of the next front). These W'lys will then spread SE'ward across Zone B thru the 11th.


Zone C: Predominant W-NW winds in this zone will ease thru today with backing to a more W'ly direction starting tonight and continuing into tomorrow. Winds will steadily freshen thru tomorrow, with the strongest winds in the center of the Zone and lighter winds in the S'rn part of the Zone. The front itself is expected to begin crossing Bermuda the night of the 10th.


Swell for both zones will be a mix of moderate period E-SE with long period NE developing tonight/tomorrow. Sea/swell will build closer to the second front in Zone C starting tomorrow.


T= UTC/GMT

ZONE B:


09/12 (T + 0):  SSE-SSW/VARY/N 11-16 GUSTS 21KTS. SEAS 2-3 SWELLS ESE-SSE 3-5FT (5SEC). MOSTLY CLDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQLS. CRRNTS ENE @ 0.4KTS.


10/00 (T + 12):  N-NE/VARY/S 07-12 GUSTS 16KTS. SEAS 1-2 SWELLS E-SE/MIXED/NE 3-5FT (6SEC). PARTLY CLDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQLS. CRRNTS NNE @ 0.9KTS.


10/12 (T + 24):  N-NE/VARY/W 04-09KTS. SEAS 1-2 SWELLS NE-E 4-6FT (13SEC). PARTLY CLDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQLS. CRRNTS ENE @ 0.8KTS.


11/00 (T + 36):  W-SW/VARY/N 08-13 GUSTS 18KTS. SEAS 1-2 SWELLS NNE-ENE 4-6FT (12SEC). PARTLY CLDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQLS. CRRNTS NE @ 0.6KTS.



ZONE C:

09/12 (T + 0):  WNW-NNW 14-19KTS. SEAS 3-4 SWELLS SSW-WSW 3-6FT (5SEC). PARTLY CLDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQLS. CRRNTS SSW @ 0.1KTS.


10/00 (T + 12):  NW-W-SW10-18 GUSTS 25KTS. SEAS 2-3 SWELLS ENE-NNE/MIXED/W 3-6FT (14SEC). MOSTLY CLDY. CRRNTS NNE @ 0.3KTS.


10/12 (T + 24):  WSW-SSW INCREASE 14-25 GUSTS 32KTS. SEAS 3-5 SWELLS ENE-NNE/MIXED/W 4-7FT (13SEC). PARTLY CLDY. SCATTERED SHWRS/SQLS. CRRNTS SW @ 0.4KTS.


11/00 (T + 36):  SW-W/VARY/NW 19-27 GUSTS 30KTS. SEAS 4-5 SWELLS WSW-WNW/MIXED/NE 5-7FT (6SEC). PARTLY CLDY. SCATTERED SHWRS/SQLS. CRRNTS N @ 0.6KTS.


ENDS