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Wx BVI to Bermuda 08/05/2017



Good Morning.



FX Prepared May 08 10:04z



Cold front extends from Bermuda SW to near Turks/Caicos will continue to weaken as it drifts E-SE. By morning of 10th, will extend frm 29N/60W S-SW to Mona Pass.


Low pressure is expected to develop along a front to N of Bermuda tonight. Will push the front S slightly. By tomorrow evening will stall just N of Bermuda W to N Carolina. Will move little thru the 10th. Another low will develop along the front just N of Bermuda late on 10th.


Conclusion: A front currently bisects Zone C with enhanced S-SW winds on E side of it and more modest NW winds on W side. This front will drift E-SE across the remainder of Zone C thru midday tomorrow. It will begin to cross Zone B tonight before stalling across the center of zone by morning of 10th. Only the far NW corner of zone A will see the  frontal passage early on 10th.


Winds will be highly dependent upon the vessels position with respect to the front itself, with generally enhanced Southerlys for vessels on E side which will tend to become W-NW and lighter on W side of front.


Zone A: Moderate SE winds will tend to ease with the weakening of front thru tomorrow. The threat of squalls will increase as the front nears later today and this threat will continue thru tomorrow.


Zone B: the greatest changes will be taking place across this zone as the front moves across it. Numerous squalls will be likely thru tonight with a chance for strong to locally severe squalls. Widespread enhanced S-SE winds will ease on the east side of front with W'rn and N'rn parts of zone seeing winds veer to the NW and even more Northerly by am/10th.


Zone C: Enhanced S-SW winds now are confined more to the SE quadrant of zone and these will tend to shift e out of zone thru tomorrow morning as the front advances. These will be replaced by more moderate NW winds which will become more W'ly as another front nears from the north by am/10th.



ZONE A:


08/12 (T + 0):  ESE-SSE 14-19KTS. SEAS 3-4 SWELLS ENE-ESE 4-6FT (7SEC).  MOSTLY CLDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQLS. CRNTS SW @ 0.4KTS.


09/00 (T + 12):  E-SE 14-19KTS. SEAS 3-4 SWELLS ENE-ESE 4-6FT (7SEC).  CLDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQLS. CRNTS SSW @ 0.7KTS.


09/12 (T + 24):  E-SE 12-17 GUSTS 25KTS. SEAS 2-3 SWELLS E-SE 4-6FT (8SEC).  MOSTLY CLDY. SHWRS/SQLS. CRNTS WSW @ 0.4KTS.


10/00 (T + 36):  E-SE 11-16 GUSTS 25KTS. SEAS 2-3 SWELLS E-SE 3-5FT (8SEC).  CLDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQLS. CRNTS S @ 0.5KTS.


ZONE B:


08/12 (T + 0):  SE-S 14-19 GUSTS 24KTS. SEAS 3-4 SWELLS E-SE/MIXED/NW 4-7FT (7SEC).  CLDY. SHWRS/SQLS. CRNTS ENE @ 0.9KTS.


09/00 (T + 12):  SSE-SSW 15-20 GUSTS 26KTS. SEAS 3-4 SWELLS E-SE/MIXED/NW 4-6FT (7SEC).  CLDY. SCATTERED SHWRS/SQLS. CRNTS ENE @ 0.6KTS.


09/12 (T + 24):  S-SW/VARY/NW(180 - 225) 13-18 GUSTS 24KTS. SEAS 2-4  SWELLS E-SE/MIXED/NE 3-5FT (7SEC).  PARTLY CLDY. SCATTERED SHWRS/SQLS. CRNTS ENE @ 0.7KTS.


10/00 (T + 36):  N-NE/VARY/S(0 - 45) 12-17 GUSTS 22KTS. SEAS 2-3 SWELLS ENE-NNE/MIXED/SE 3-5FT (12SEC).  CLEAR. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQLS. CRNTS NE @ 0.6KTS.



ZONE C:


08/12 (T + 0):  S-SW/VARY/NW 18-23 GUSTS 28KTS. SEAS 3-5 SWELLS SSW-WSW 6-8FT (8SEC).  CLDY. SHWRS/SQLS. CRNTS NE @ 0.2KTS.


09/00 (T + 12):  W-NW/VARY/S 16-21 GUSTS 27KTS. SEAS 3-5 SWELLS SSW-WSW 5-7FT (7SEC).  CLDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQLS. CRNTS NW @ 0.3KTS.


09/12 (T + 24):  W-NW 13-18 GUSTS 22KTS. SEAS 2-4 SWELLS SW-W/MIXED/NE 3-5FT (7SEC).  PARTLY CLDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQLS. CRNTS N @ 0.2KTS.


10/00 (T + 36):  W-NW 12-17 GUSTS 20KTS. SEAS 2-3 SWELLS NNE-ENE/MIXED/NW 4-6FT (14SEC).  CLEAR. CRNTS N @ 0.3KTS.


ENDS