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WX ARC 2017 01 DEC



Synopsis: Good morning. High pressure near 24N/25W with a ridge S to the Cape Verde Islands will remain nearly stationary thru the 04. A gale near 36N/35W with a cold front SW to 22N/45W will track NE to near 42N/34W tomorrow afternoon. Another low will develop near 29N/54W tomorrow morning and will move NE while strengthening to near 34N/45W by the morning of the 03. A cold front will extend SW to the north of Puerto Rico by the morning of the 03 before lifting NE thru the 04.


Conclusion:


Zone DD: With the aforementioned gale passing to the north and weak ridging persisting to the south, generally stronger and more SW breezes will be found across the N part of the zone today, lighter and more E across S areas. By tomorrow and thru the 03, general S will be expected (stronger to the NW with another gale moving to the northwest of the zone). N-NW long period swell will persist across the zone thru the forecast period building thru tonight then lowering.


Zone EE: E will shift S-SW across the zone thru the forecast period and freshen as the next gale moves just to the north of the zone. Strongest winds will be found in areas furthest N and NW. N swell will be moderate to long in period, building today, dropping off thru tomorrow.


Zone FF: Similar to EE, except SW tomorrow and 03 will be stronger (strongest once again further NW). N-NE swell thru tomorrow will tend to mix with shorter period SW sets by the 03 (especially farther NW in the zone).


Zone KK: Similar to above, except this zone will be far enough south and closer to the ridge to avoid stronger S-SW s. Long period N-NE swell will persist thru the forecast period.


Zones JJ, II and HH: These zones will also be far enough south and more influenced by ridging. Moderate to fresh breezes will persist, more E-NE across E areas (like zone HH) and more E-SE across W areas (like zone JJ). N-NW swell will affect all of these zones, building tomorrow, then lowering on the 03.


Zones NN, OO, PP and QQ: These zones will experience persistent trade winds over the next several days with ridging continuing. Winds will tend more NE and stronger in zones farther west (such as NN), and more E-SE in zones farther west (such as PP and QQ). Besides wind driven sets, N long period swell will build on the 02/03.


T = 01 DEC 0600 UTC


DD FORECAST:

T + 0: W-SW/VARY/E(270 - 225) 10-15 GUSTS 23KTS. SEAS 2-4 SWELLS NW-N 7-10FT MSTLY CLDY. ISLTD SHWRS. E @ 0.2KTS.

T + 12: SW-W/VARY/SE(225 - 270) 09-14KTS. SEAS 1-3 SWELLS NW-N 8-11FT CLEAR. ENE @ 0.3KTS.

T + 24: S-SW(180 - 225) 10-15KTS. SEAS 1-3 SWELLS NW-N 6-9FT MSTLY CLDY. ISLTD SHWRS* E @ 0.3KTS.

T + 36: SSW-SSE(203 - 158) 11-16KTS. SEAS 1-3 SWELLS NW-N 4-7FT PRTLY CLDY. ISLTD SHWRS* NE @ 0.2KTS.

T + 48: SSW-SSE(203 - 158) 12-17 GUSTS 27KTS. SEAS 2-4 SWELLS NW-N 4-7FT PRTLY CLDY. ISLTD SHWRS*ENE @ 0.2KTS.


EE FORECAST:

T + 0: E-SE/VARY/W(90 - 135) 08-13KTS. SEAS 0-2 SWELLS NW-N 8-11FT CLEAR. WSW @ 0.4KTS.

T + 12: E-SE/VARY/W(90 - 135) 09-14KTS. SEAS 0-2 SWELLS NNW-NNE 7-10FT MSTLY CLDY. ISLTD SHWRS*WSW @ 0.5KTS.

T + 24: SE-S(135 - 180) 11-16KTS. SEAS 2-3 SWELLS NNW-NNE 6-9FT MSTLY CLDY. ISLTD SHWRS. WSW @ 0.5KTS.

T + 36: S-SW(180 - 225) 15-20 GUSTS 28KTS. SEAS 3-5 SWELLS NNW-NNE 4-7FT PRTLY CLDY. ISLTD SHWRS*WSW @ 0.7KTS.

T + 48: S-SW(180 - 225) 18-23 GUSTS 30KTS. SEAS 4-6 SWELLS N-NW/MIXED/SW 5-8FT PRTLY CLDY. ISLTD SHWRS*WSW @ 0.7KTS.


FF FORECAST:

T + 0: ESE-SSE(113 - 158) 11-16KTS. SEAS 1-3 SWELLS NNE-NNW 4-7FT CLDY. SCATTERED SHWRS* NE @ 0.2KTS.

T + 12: SE-S-SW(135 - 225) 15-20 GUSTS 30KTS. SEAS 3-5 SWELLS N-NE 5-8FT MSTLY CLDY. ISLTD SHWRS*SSE @ 0.3KTS.

T + 24: SSW-WSW(203 - 248) 20-25 GUSTS 33KTS. SEAS 5-7 SWELLS N-NE 5-8FT PRTLY CLDY. SCATTERED SHWRS* NNW @ 0.4KTS.

T + 36: SSW-WSW(203 - 248) 22-27 GUSTS 35KTS. SEAS 6-7 SWELLS N-NE/MIXED/SW 5-8FT MSTLY CLDY. SCATTERED SHWRS* WSW @ 0.3KTS.

T + 48: WSW-WNW(248 - 293) 18-23 GUSTS 28KTS. SEAS 4-6 SWELLS SW-W/MIXED/N 4-7FT MSTLY CLDY. SCATTERED SHWRS* NW @ 0.5KTS.


KK FORECAST:

T + 0: E-SE(90 - 135) 11-16KTS. SEAS 1-3 SWELLS NNE-NNW 3-6FT MSTLY CLDY. ISLTD SHWRS. ESE @ 0.2KTS.

T + 12: ESE-SSE(113 - 158) 12-17 GUSTS 22KTS. SEAS 2-3 SWELLS N-NE 4-7FT PRTLY CLDY. ISLTD SHWRS*ENE @ 0.3KTS.

T + 24: SE-S(135 - 180) 12-17 GUSTS 25KTS. SEAS 2-3 SWELLS N-NE 4-7FT PRTLY CLDY. ISLTD SHWRS* E @ 0.2KTS.

T + 36: SSE-SSW(158 - 203) 11-16KTS. SEAS 2-4 SWELLS N-NE 3-6FT PRTLY CLDY. ISLTD SHWRS* SE @ 0.1KTS.

T + 48: SSE-SSW(158 - 203) 08-13KTS. SEAS 2-4 SWELLS N-NE 2-5FT MSTLY CLDY. ISLTD SHWRS* NNE @ 0.2KTS.


JJ FORECAST:

T + 0: E-SE(90 - 135) 10-15KTS. SEAS 1-3 SWELLS NNE-NNW 3-6FT PRTLY CLDY. ISLTD SHWRS* SW @ 0.4KTS.

T + 12: ESE-SSE(113 - 158) 11-16KTS. SEAS 1-3 SWELLS NNE-NNW 5-8FT MSTLY CLDY. ISLTD SHWRS*SSW @ 0.7KTS.

T + 24: ESE-SSE(113 - 158) 11-16KTS. SEAS 1-3 SWELLS NNE-NNW 5-8FT PRTLY CLDY. ISLTD SHWRS*SW @ 0.7KTS.

T + 36: ESE-SSE(113 - 158) 10-15KTS. SEAS 2-3 SWELLS NNE-NNW 4-7FT PRTLY CLDY. ISLTD SHWRS*SSW @ 0.6KTS.

T + 48: ESE-SSE(113 - 158) 09-14KTS. SEAS 2-3 SWELLS NNE-NNW 3-6FT PRTLY CLDY. ISLTD SHWRS*SSW @ 0.6KTS.


II FORECAST:

T + 0: ENE-ESE(68 - 113) 09-14KTS. SEAS 1-2 SWELLS NNE-NNW 2-5FT MSTLY CLDY. NNW @ 0.1KTS.

T + 12: ENE-ESE(68 - 113) 11-16KTS. SEAS 1-3 SWELLS NNE-NNW 5-8FT PRTLY CLDY. ISLTD SHWRS*E @ 0.4KTS.

T + 24: ENE-ESE(68 - 113) 12-17KTS. SEAS 1-3 SWELLS NNE-NNW 6-9FT MSTLY CLDY. ISLTD SHWRS*ESE @ 0.4KTS.

T + 36: ENE-ESE(68 - 113) 11-16KTS. SEAS 2-3 SWELLS NNE-NNW 5-8FT PRTLY CLDY. ISLTD SHWRS*E @ 0.3KTS.

T + 48: E-SE(90 - 135) 11-16KTS. SEAS 2-3 SWELLS NNE-NNW 4-7FT PRTLY CLDY. ISLTD SHWRS* E @ 0.4KTS.


HH FORECAST:

T + 0: NE-E(45 - 90) 11-16KTS. SEAS 1-3 SWELLS N-NE 2-5FT CLEAR. ENE @ 0.5KTS.

T + 12: ENE-ESE(68 - 113) 12-17KTS. SEAS 1-3 SWELLS N-NE/MIXED/NW 4-7FT CLEAR. ENE @ 0.5KTS.

T + 24: NE-E(45 - 90) 13-18KTS. SEAS 2-3 SWELLS N-NW 5-8FT CLEAR. ENE @ 0.3KTS.

T + 36: NE-E(45 - 90) 13-18KTS. SEAS 2-4 SWELLS N-NW 5-8FT CLEAR. ENE @ 0.6KTS.

T + 48: NE-E(45 - 90) 13-18KTS. SEAS 2-4 SWELLS NNE-NNW 4-7FT PRTLY CLDY. E @ 0.5KTS.


NN FORECAST:

T + 0: NE-E(45 - 90) 11-16KTS. SEAS 2-3 SWELLS N-NE 2-5FT CLDY. ESE @ 0.3KTS.

T + 12: NE-E(45 - 90) 12-17KTS. SEAS 2-3 SWELLS N-NE/MIXED/NW 3-6FT CLDY. E @ 0.5KTS.

T + 24: NE-E(45 - 90) 13-18KTS. SEAS 2-4 SWELLS N-NW 4-7FT PRTLY CLDY. ESE @ 0.5KTS.

T + 36: NE-E(45 - 90) 15-20 GUSTS 23KTS. SEAS 3-5 SWELLS N-NW 5-8FT PRTLY CLDY. E @ 0.4KTS.

T + 48: NE-E(45 - 90) 15-20 GUSTS 25KTS. SEAS 3-4 SWELLS N-NW 5-8FT CLDY. ENE @ 0.5KTS.


OO FORECAST:

T + 0: ENE-ESE(68 - 113) 13-18KTS. SEAS 2-3 SWELLS N-NE 3-6FT MSTLY CLDY. ISLTD SHWRS* ENE @ 0.1KTS.

T + 12: ENE-ESE(68 - 113) 13-18KTS. SEAS 2-3 SWELLS NNE-NNW 4-7FT CLDY. ISLTD SHWRS* ENE @ 0.3KTS.

T + 24: NE-E(45 - 90) 13-18KTS. SEAS 2-4 SWELLS NNE-NNW 5-8FT PRTLY CLDY. ENE @ 0.1KTS.

T + 36: NE-E(45 - 90) 13-18KTS. SEAS 2-3 SWELLS NNE-NNW 5-8FT CLDY. ISLTD SHWRS. ENE @ 0.3KTS.

T + 48: NE-E(45 - 90) 13-18KTS. SEAS 2-4 SWELLS NNE-NNW 4-7FT CLDY. NE @ 0.2KTS.


PP FORECAST:

T + 0: ENE-ESE(68 - 113) 13-18KTS. SEAS 2-3 SWELLS N-NE 3-6FT CLDY. ISLTD SHWRS* ESE @ 0.4KTS.

T + 12: ENE-ESE(68 - 113) 14-19KTS. SEAS 2-3 SWELLS NNE-NNW 4-7FT PRTLY CLDY. ISLTD SHWRS*ESE @ 0.7KTS.

T + 24: ENE-ESE(68 - 113) 15-20 GUSTS 23KTS. SEAS 3-4 SWELLS NNE-NNW 5-8FT PRTLY CLDY. ISLTD SHWRS*ESE @ 0.6KTS.

T + 36: ENE-ESE(68 - 113) 15-20 GUSTS 23KTS. SEAS 2-3 SWELLS NNE-NNW 4-7FT PRTLY CLDY. ISLTD SHWRS*SE @ 0.7KTS.

T + 48: ENE-ESE(68 - 113) 15-20 GUSTS 23KTS. SEAS 2-4 SWELLS NNE-NNW 4-7FT PRTLY CLDY. ISLTD SHWRS*ESE @ 0.4KTS.


QQ FORECAST:

T + 0: ENE-ESE(68 - 113) 13-18KTS. SEAS 2-3 SWELLS E-SE/MIXED/N 3-6FT MSTLY CLDY. ISLTD SHWRS*SE @ 0.3KTS.

T + 12: ENE-ESE(68 - 113) 14-19KTS. SEAS 2-3 SWELLS E-SE/MIXED/N 3-6FT PRTLY CLDY. ISLTD SHWRS*SSE @ 0.5KTS.

T + 24: ENE-ESE(68 - 113) 14-19KTS. SEAS 2-3 SWELLS N-NE/MIXED/SE 4-7FT PRTLY CLDY. ISLTD SHWRS*S @ 0.4KTS.

T + 36: ENE-ESE(68 - 113) 14-19KTS. SEAS 2-3 SWELLS N-NE 4-7FT PRTLY CLDY. ISLTD SHWRS* SSE @ 0.5KTS.

T + 48: ENE-ESE(68 - 113) 14-19KTS. SEAS 1-3 SWELLS N-NE 4-7FT PRTLY CLDY. ISLTD SHWRS* S @ 0.3KTS.

* WINDS AND SEAS HIGHER IN SQUALLS