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ARC Weather Forecast 05/12/2016



ARC Weather
05/12/2016

Synopsis: Good morning. A large gale is located near 45N/35W with an associated cold front extending SW to approximately 20N/55W across the North/Central Atlantic at this time. This gale and associated front are expected to lift NE while weakening just slightly thru the morning of the 06.High pressure over the E Great Lakes with a ridge e to 70W and s to 30N will move SE offshore SE Long Island tonight, then move se to near 29N/67W by tomorrow evening. This high will continue se to near 25N/62W by evening of the 07, then drift e to near 25N/50W by the morning of the 09. The ridge will weaken over the NE Caribbean Sea late on the 09 thru 10 as a cold front moves thru the Bahamas. Another broad area of high pressure located just SW of the Canaries, with associated ridging extending SW to about 15N/40W, is forecast to weaken as it moves NE thru the next few days. Scattered showers, associated with a weak trough located near 15N/45W, are forecast to move W and become more isltd thru the next few days.
Conclusion: Mostly gentle winds are forecast to persist across Grids KK, JJ and II thru out the next few days. Enhanced SWs are expected as a front passes thru Grid EE today. These winds will quickly ease and become gentle across EE by the afternoon of the 06. More moderate Es will continue across Grids NN, OO, PP, QQ and RR. Swells are expected to build from N to S across Grids LL, KK, RR and QQ thru the 07, but will be mostly long period. The largest swells are expected to move across Grid EE, but will be long period (about 12-13 seconds) and will begin to abate by the evening of the 06/morning of the 07. Scattered showers will move from the W portion of Grid PP W across Grid QQ and RR thru the next few days.

T = 05 DEC 0600 UTC

HH:
T + 0: NE-E 07-12KTS. SEAS 1-3 SWELLS NW-N 4-6FT (11S). CLDY. CURRENT WSW @ 0.7KTS.
T + 12: E-SE 12-17KTS. SEAS 2-3 SWELLS NNW-NNE 3-5FT (12S). CLDY. CURRENT W @ 0.2KTS.
T + 24: ENE-ESE 09-14KTS. SEAS 1-3 SWELLS NNW-NNE 3-5FT (12S). CLDY. CURRENT WSW @ 0.7KTS.
T + 36: NE-E 07-12KTS. SEAS 1-3 SWELLS NW-N 4-6FT (12S). CLEAR. CURRENT WNW @ 0.3KTS.
T + 48: NNE-ENE 12-17KTS. SEAS 1-3 SWELLS NW-N 4-6FT (12S). CLEAR. CURRENT WSW @ 0.4KTS.

NN:
T + 0: NNE-ENE 11-16KTS. SEAS 2-3 SWELLS NNW-NNE 5-7FT (11S). CLDY. ISLTD SHWRS. CURRENT E @ 0.4KTS.
T + 12: NE-E 11-16KTS. SEAS 2-3 SWELLS N-NE 4-6FT (11S). CLDY. CURRENT ENE @ 0.9KTS.
T + 24: NNE-ENE 11-16KTS. SEAS 2-3 SWELLS N-NE 3-5FT (12S). CLDY. ISLTD SHWRS. CURRENT E @ 0.6KTS.
T + 36: NNE-ENE 12-17KTS. SEAS 2-3 SWELLS N-NE 3-5FT (13S). CLDY. CURRENT ENE @ 0.5KTS.
T + 48: NNE-ENE 12-17KTS. SEAS 2-3 SWELLS N-NE 4-6FT (12S). MOSTLY CLDY. CURRENT NE @ 0.7KTS.

II:
T + 0: E-SE 05-10KTS. SEAS 2-3 SWELLS NNW-NNE 4-6FT (12S). CLDY. CURRENT E @ 0.3KTS.
T + 12: SE-S 03-08KTS. SEAS 1-3 SWELLS NW-N 3-5FT (12S). CLEAR. CURRENT SE @ 0.4KTS.
T + 24: ESE-SSE 03-08KTS. SEAS 1-3 SWELLS NW-N 3-5FT (11S). CLEAR. CURRENT ESE @ 0.3KTS.
T + 36: E-SE 03-08KTS. SEAS 1-3 SWELLS WNW-NNW 5-7FT (12S). CLEAR. CURRENT SE @ 0.6KTS.
T + 48: ENE-ESE 03-08KTS. SEAS 1-3 SWELLS NW-N 6-8FT (12S). CLDY. CURRENT ESE @ 0.2KTS.

OO:
T + 0: ENE-ESE 14-19KTS. SEAS 2-3 SWELLS N-NE 5-7FT (12S). CLDY. CURRENT SE @ 0.4KTS.
T + 12: ENE-ESE 11-16KTS. SEAS 1-3 SWELLS NE-E 4-6FT (12S). MOSTLY CLDY. CURRENT ESE @ 0.3KTS.
T + 24: NNE-ENE 12-17KTS. SEAS 2-3 SWELLS NE-E 3-5FT (13S). CLDY. CURRENT ESE @ 0.5KTS.
T + 36: NE-E 13-18KTS. SEAS 2-3 SWELLS NNE-ENE 4-6FT (12S). CLDY. CURRENT SSE @ 0.6KTS.
T + 48: NE-E 12-17KTS. SEAS 2-3 SWELLS N-NE 5-7FT (12S). CLEAR. CURRENT E @ 0.1KTS.

JJ:
T + 0: SE-S 07-12KTS. SEAS 1-3 SWELLS ESE-SSE 4-6FT (11S). CLEAR. CURRENT NNE @ 0.1KTS.
T + 12: S-SW 06-11KTS. SEAS 1-3 SWELLS ESE-SSE/MIXED/NW 3-5FT (11S). PARTLY CLDY. ISLTD SHWRS*. CURRENT WNW @ 0.3KTS.
T + 24: S-SW-W 05-10KTS. SEAS 1-3 SWELLS NW-N 4-6FT (11S). CLEAR. CURRENT NNW @ 0.2KTS.
T + 36: W-NW-N 03-08KTS. SEAS 1-3 SWELLS NW-N 6-8FT (11S). CLEAR. CURRENT S @ 0.1KTS.
T + 48: N-NE 03-08KTS. SEAS 1-3 SWELLS NW-N 6-8FT (11S). CLDY. CURRENT WNW @ 0.2KTS.

EE:
T + 0: SSW-WSW 20-25KTS. SEAS 4-5 SWELLS WSW-WNW 6-8FT (13S). PARTLY CLDY. ISLTD SHWRS*. CURRENT NW @ 0.7KTS.
T + 12: SW-W EASE 25-15KTS. SEAS 3-4 SWELLS W-NW 8-10FT (13S). CLDY. SCATTERED SHWRS*. CURRENT NW @ 1.1KTS.
T + 24: W-NW 10-15KTS. SEAS 2-3 SWELLS WNW-NNW 8-10FT (12S). CLDY. ISLTD SHWRS. CURRENT NNW @ 0.6KTS.
T + 36: W-NW-N 05-10KTS. SEAS 1-2 SWELLS WNW-NNW 8-10FT (11S). CLDY. CURRENT NNW @ 0.8KTS.
T + 48: SW-W 03-08KTS. SEAS 1-3 SWELLS WNW-NNW 7-9FT (11S). CLEAR. CURRENT NNW @ 0.6KTS.

PP:
T + 0: ENE-ESE 15-20KTS. SEAS 3-4 SWELLS ENE-ESE 5-7FT (8S). CLDY. CURRENT ESE @ 0.9KTS.
T + 12: E-SE 15-20KTS. SEAS 2-4 SWELLS ENE-ESE 5-7FT (9S). CLEAR. CURRENT ESE @ 1.3KTS.
T + 24: ENE-ESE 13-18KTS. SEAS 2-3 SWELLS ENE-ESE 4-6FT (10S). CLEAR. CURRENT ESE @ 1.2KTS.
T + 36: ENE-ESE 12-17KTS. SEAS 2-3 SWELLS NNE-ENE 4-6FT (11S). CLDY. ISLTD SHWRS*. CURRENT ESE @ 1.1KTS.
T + 48: ENE-ESE 13-18KTS. SEAS 2-4 SWELLS NNW-NNE 6-8FT (10S). PARTLY CLDY. ISLTD SHWRS*. CURRENT E @ 0.9KTS.

KK:
T + 0: NE-E 03-08KTS. SEAS 1-3 SWELLS NE-E 2-4FT (12S). CLEAR. CURRENT NNE @ 0.3KTS.
T + 12: N-NE 03-08KTS. SEAS 1-3 SWELLS N-NE 3-5FT (12S). CLEAR. CURRENT NNE @ 0.5KTS.
T + 24: NNE-ENE 03-08KTS. SEAS 1-3 SWELLS NW-N 5-7FT (11S). CLEAR. CURRENT NNE @ 0.4KTS.
T + 36: NE-E 03-08KTS. SEAS 1-2 SWELLS NW-N 6-8FT (11S). PARTLY CLDY. ISLTD SHWRS. CURRENT NE @ 0.5KTS.
T + 48: ENE-ESE 05-10KTS. SEAS 1-3 SWELLS NW-N 5-7FT (10S). CLDY. CURRENT NNE @ 0.3KTS.

QQ:
T + 0: ENE-ESE 08-13KTS. SEAS 1-2 SWELLS NE-E 3-5FT (11S). PARTLY CLDY. ISLTD SHWRS*. CURRENT SW @ 0.5KTS.
T + 12: NE-E 08-13KTS. SEAS 1-3 SWELLS ENE-ESE 3-5FT (11S). PARTLY CLDY. ISLTD SHWRS*. CURRENT S @ 0.2KTS.
T + 24: ENE-ESE 11-16KTS. SEAS 2-3 SWELLS ENE-ESE 3-5FT (10S). MOSTLY CLDY. ISLTD SHWRS*. CURRENT SW @ 0.6KTS.
T + 36: NE-E 12-17KTS. SEAS 2-3 SWELLS NNE-ENE 5-7FT (10S). PARTLY CLDY. SCATTERED SHWRS*. CURRENT SSW @ 0.2KTS.
T + 48: ENE-ESE 12-17KTS. SEAS 2-3 SWELLS N-NE 6-8FT (11S). PARTLY CLDY. SCATTERED SHWRS*. CURRENT SSW @ 0.6KTS.

RR:
T + 0: NE-E 11-16KTS. SEAS 2-3 SWELLS NE-E 2-4FT(7S). MOSTLY CLDY. ISLTD SHWRS*. CURRENT E @0.6KTS.
T + 12: NNE-ENE 12-17KTS. SEAS 2-3 SWELLS NE-E 2-4FT (7S). PARTLY CLDY. ISLTD SHWRS*. CURRENT E @0.9KTS.
T + 24: NE-E 14-19KTS. SEAS 3-4 SWELLS NE-E 3-5FT (8S). CLDY. ISLTD SHWRS*. CURRENT E @0.8KTS.
T + 36: NE-E 13-18KTS. SEAS 2-3 SWELLS N-NE 4-6FT (10S). PARTLY CLDY. ISLTD SHWRS*. CURRENT E @ 1.1KTS.
T + 48: NE-E 15-20KTS. SEAS 2-3 SWELLS NNE-ENE 5-7FT (12S). CLEAR. CURRENT E @ 0.7KTS.