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ARC Weather Forecast: 26/11/2016



ARC Weather
26/11/2016

Synopsis: A gale offshore Central Portugal will weaken into a low while moving over the W Alboran Sea tomorrow evening, then move SE over N Algeria thru the 28. A broad trough of low pressure covers the Central Atlantic from 28N-18N and from 30W-50W, and will drift very slowly E thru the 28.A gale is expected to be near 35N/22W on the morning of the 29 will drift SE to near 31N/23W by evening of the 30. The gale will weaken into a low and pass over the W Canary Islands on the 01. An associated cold front will move thru the Canary Islands overnight the 30.
A cold front will move E and pass just north of the Virgin and N Leeward Islands late on the 28, then continue E on the 29. We are currently monitoring a cut off low that is forecast to be located near 25N/50W on the evening of the 30. At this time, the low is forecast to meander SE to near 22N/50W on the 01. However, the exact track of this system has been varying significantly over the past 24 hours. We will continue to monitor this closely and advise more on a firm route change over the coming days if the low is forecast to remain farther south.
Conclusion: Over the next 2-3 days, lightest conditions will be found within Zones OO, II, HH, and NN, as these Zones reside within the trough axis current across the S/Central Atlantic, where winds will tend to be light/variable at times, with minimal to moderate N-NE swell. Highest winds/seas will be found within the N most Zones, along the N portions of these Zones (CC, BB,DD, and EE) due to interactions between the trough and ridge over these regions. Fresh SE-E-NE winds will tend to ease slightly and gradually over these Zones over the next 2-3 days as the trough broadens slightly. Swell will remain generally N-NE across these zones with moderate height and period. Primary concern from the Canaries and Cape Verde Islands, W across the Majority of the forecast zones will be squalls, with heaviest squalls around and west of the Cape Verde Islands. These squalls have the potential to produce gale force winds with locally higher seas in excess of 10 feet, and will persist over the next 2-3 days.

T=26 NOV 0600 UTC

LL:
T + 0: NNE-ENE 14-19 GUSTS 22KTS. SEAS 3-5 SWELLS NNE-ENE 6-8FT (8). SKIES CLDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS SSW @ 0.3KTS.
T + 12: NNE-ENE 13-18 GUSTS 20KTS. SEAS 3-4 SWELLS NNE-ENE 5-7FT (8). SKIES PARTLY CLDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS SE @ 0.4KTS.
T + 24: ENE-ESE 10-15 GUSTS 18KTS. SEAS 2-4 SWELLS NE-N 4-6FT (8). SKIES MOSTLY CLDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS SSW @ 0.7KTS.
T + 36: SE-S 07-12 GUSTS 15KTS. SEAS 2-3 SWELLS NNE-ENE 3-5FT (8). SKIES PARTLY CLDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS SW @ 0.3KTS.
T + 48: SSE-ESE 07-12 GUSTS 15KTS. SEAS 1-3 SWELLS NNE-ENE 3-5FT (8). SKIES PARTLY CLDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS S @ 0.5KTS.

CC:
T + 0: ENE-ESE 12-17 GUSTS 20KTS. SEAS 3-4 SWELLS NNE-ENE 4-6FT (8). SKIES MOSTLY CLDY. CURRENTS ENE @ 0.4KTS.
T + 12: ENE-ESE 12-17 GUSTS 20KTS. SEAS 3-4 SWELLS NE-E 4-6FT (8). SKIES PARTLY CLDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS SE @ 0.1KTS.
T + 24: ENE-ESE 12-17 GUSTS 20KTS. SEAS 3-4 SWELLS NE-E 5-7FT (8). SKIES PARTLY CLDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS ENE @ 0.3KTS.
T + 36: E-SE 12-17 GUSTS 20KTS. SEAS 3-4 SWELLS ENE-ESE 6-8FT (10). SKIES CLDY. SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS WSW @ 0.2KTS.
T + 48: E-SE 12-17 GUSTS 20KTS. SEAS 3-4 SWELLS ENE-ESE 6-8FT (10). SKIES CLDY. SCATTERED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS NNE @ 0.3KTS.

BB:
T + 0: NW-N 10-15 GUSTS 18KTS. SEAS 2-4 SWELLS NNW-NNE 5-7FT (8). SKIES CLDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS SSE @ 0.6KTS.
T + 12: NNW-NNE 07-12 GUSTS 15KTS. SEAS 1-3 SWELLS NNW-NNE 5-7FT (7). SKIES CLDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS SE @ 0.3KTS.
T + 24: NNE-ENE 07-12 GUSTS 15KTS. SEAS 1-3 SWELLS NNW-NNE 5-7FT (8). SKIES CLEAR. CURRENTS SSE @ 0.8KTS.
T + 36: NNE-ENE 07-12KTS. SEAS 1-2 SWELLS NNW-NNE 5-7FT (10). SKIES CLEAR. CURRENTS ESE @ 0.3KTS.
T + 48: NE-E 10-15KTS. SEAS 2-3 SWELLS NNW-NNE 5-7FT (10). SKIES CLDY. CURRENTS SSE @ 0.7KTS.

AA:
T + 0: NW-N/VARY/W 07-12 GUSTS 17KTS. SEAS 1-3 SWELLS W-NW 4-6FT (7). SKIES CLDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS W @ 0.3KTS.
T + 12: NW-N/VARY/W 07-12 GUSTS 17KTS. SEAS 1-3 SWELLS W-NW 4-6FT (7). SKIES PARTLY CLDY. ISOLATED SHWRS. CURRENTS NNW @ 0.2KTS.
T + 24: NNW-NNE 05-10 GUSTS 12KTS. SEAS 1-2 SWELLS WNW-NNW 4-6FT (7). SKIES PARTLY CLDY. ISOLATED SHWRS. CURRENTS WSW / WEAKKTS.
T + 36: N-NW 05-10 GUSTS 12KTS. SEAS 1-2 SWELLS NW-N 4-6FT (7). SKIES CLEAR. CURRENTS NNE @ 0.3KTS.
T + 48: NNW-NNE 05-10 GUSTS 12KTS. SEAS 1-2 SWELLS NW-N 4-6FT (7). SKIES CLEAR. CURRENTS NNE @ 0.3KTS.

GG:
T + 0: N-NE 09-14 GUSTS 17KTS. SEAS 2-3 SWELLS N-NE 4-6FT (7). SKIES CLDY. CURRENTS SSE @ 0.7KTS.
T + 12: NNE-ENE 09-14 GUSTS 17KTS. SEAS 2-3 SWELLS N-NE 4-6FT (7). SKIES CLEAR. CURRENTS SE @ 0.6KTS.
T + 24: NNE-ENE 09-14 GUSTS 17KTS. SEAS 2-3 SWELLS N-NE 4-6FT (7). SKIES CLEAR. CURRENTS SSE @ 0.6KTS.
T + 36: NE-E 10-15KTS. SEAS 2-3 SWELLS NNE-ENE 4-6FT (7). SKIES MOSTLY CLDY. CURRENTS SE @ 0.6KTS.
T + 48: ENE-NNE 10-15KTS. SEAS 2-3 SWELLS N-NE 4-6FT (7). SKIES CLEAR. CURRENTS SSW @ 0.4KTS.

HH:
T + 0: S-SW 10-15KTS. SEAS 2-3 SWELLS N-NE/MIXED/W 3-5FT (8). SKIES CLDY. SCATTERED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS NW @ 0.6KTS.
T + 12: S-SW 10-15KTS. SEAS 2-3 SWELLS N-NE/MIXED/W 3-5FT (8). SKIES CLDY. SCATTERED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS N @ 0.6KTS.
T + 24: SW-W 07-12KTS. SEAS 2-3 SWELLS N-NE/MIXED/W 4-6FT (8). SKIES CLDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS NNE @ 0.4KTS.
T + 36: SW-W 07-12KTS. SEAS 2-3 SWELLS N-NE/MIXED/W 4-6FT (10). SKIES CLDY. SCATTERED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS NNE @ 0.2KTS.
T + 48: WSW-SSW 07-12 GUSTS 17KTS. SEAS 2-3 SWELLS N-NE/MIXED/W 4-6FT (10). SKIES CLDY. SCATTERED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS NNW @ 0.5KTS.

NN:
T + 0: NNE-ENE 10-15KTS. SEAS 2-3 SWELLS NNE-ENE 4-6FT (6). SKIES CLDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS SE @ 0.5KTS.
T + 12: NNE-ENE 10-15KTS. SEAS 2-3 SWELLS NNE-ENE 4-6FT (6). SKIES PARTLY CLDY. ISOLATED SHWRS. CURRENTS SE @ 0.8KTS.
T + 24: ENE-ESE 10-15KTS. SEAS 2-3 SWELLS NE-E 4-6FT (6). SKIES CLEAR. CURRENTS SSE @ 1KTS.
T + 36: ENE-ESE 10-15KTS. SEAS 2-3 SWELLS ENE-ESE 3-5FT (10). SKIES CLDY. CURRENTS S @ 0.7KTS.
T + 48: E-NE 10-15KTS. SEAS 2-3 SWELLS ENE-ESE 3-5FT (10). SKIES CLDY. CURRENTS SSE @ 0.3KTS.

MM:
T + 0: NNW-NNE 12-17 GUSTS 20KTS. SEAS 2-4 SWELLS NNE-NNW 5-7FT (6). SKIES CLEAR. CURRENTS NNE @ 0.7KTS.
T + 12: NNE-ENE(23 - 68) 15-20 GUSTS 25KTS. SEAS 3-5 SWELLS N-NE 5-7FT (6). SKIES CLDY. CURRENTS NE @ 1KTS.
T + 24: NE-N 12-17 GUSTS 20KTS. SEAS 2-4 SWELLS N-NE 4-6FT (6). SKIES CLDY. CURRENTS E @ 0.7KTS.
T + 36: NNE-ENE 10-15 GUSTS 17KTS. SEAS 2-4 SWELLS N-NE 4-6FT (6). SKIES CLDY. CURRENTS ENE @ 0.3KTS.
T + 48: NE-N 10-15 GUSTS 17KTS. SEAS 2-4 SWELLS N-NE 4-6FT (6). SKIES CLEAR. CURRENTS N @ 0.7KTS.

DD:
T + 0: ESE-ENE 14-19 GUSTS 22KTS. SEAS 3-5 SWELLS NE-E 6-8FT (6). SKIES CLDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS SSW @ 0.3KTS.
T + 12: ESE-ENE 10-15 GUSTS 17KTS. SEAS 2-4 SWELLS ENE-ESE 6-8FT (6). SKIES PARTLY CLDY. SCATTERED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS NE @ 0.3KTS.
T + 24: E-NE 10-15 GUSTS 17KTS. SEAS 2-4 SWELLS ENE-ESE 6-8FT (6). SKIES CLDY. SCATTERED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS SW @ 0.3KTS.
T + 36: ENE-ESE 12-17 GUSTS 20KTS. SEAS 3-4 SWELLS ENE-ESE 6-8FT (9). SKIES PARTLY CLDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS NNW @ 0.6KTS.
T + 48: E-NE 09-14KTS. SEAS 2-3 SWELLS E-NE 6-8FT (12). SKIES PARTLY CLDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS WSW @ 0.2KTS.

II:
T + 0: S-SE 07-12KTS. SEAS 1-2 SWELLS N-NE 4-6FT (6). SKIES CLEAR. CURRENTS ESE @ 0.3KTS.
T + 12: SE-E 07-12KTS. SEAS 1-2 SWELLS N-NE 5-7FT (6). SKIES PARTLY CLDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS S @ 0.1KTS.
T + 24: ESE-SSE 07-12KTS. SEAS 1-2 SWELLS NE-E 5-7FT (6). SKIES MOSTLY CLDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS SE @ 0.1KTS.
T + 36: SE-E/VARY/NE 10-15KTS. SEAS 2-3 SWELLS ENE-ESE 4-6FT (9). SKIES PARTLY CLDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS NE @ 0.1KTS.
T + 48: E-NE 10-15KTS. SEAS 2-3 SWELLS E-NE 4-6FT (9). SKIES PARTLY CLDY. CURRENTS SE @ 0.4KTS.

OO:
T + 0: NNE-ENE 07-12KTS. SEAS 2-3 SWELLS ENE-NNE 4-6FT (7). SKIES CLDY. SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS ENE @ 0.4KTS.
T + 12: E-SE 10-15 GUSTS 17KTS. SEAS 2-3 SWELLS NE-E 4-6FT (6). SKIES PARTLY CLDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS E @ 0.2KTS.
T + 24: SE-S 12-17KTS. SEAS 2-3 SWELLS E-SE 4-6FT (6). SKIES CLDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS E @ 0.4KTS.
T + 36: S-SW 10-15KTS. SEAS 2-3 SWELLS ESE-ENE 4-6FT (10). SKIES CLDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS NE @ 0.5KTS.
T + 48: SW-W 10-15KTS. SEAS 2-3 SWELLS E-NE 4-6FT (9). SKIES CLDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS E @ 0.7KTS.

FF:
T + 0: ENE-ESE 07-12 GUSTS 15KTS. SEAS 1-3 SWELLS NE-N 5-8FT (6). SKIES PARTLY CLDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS WNW @ 0.4KTS.
T + 12: E-NE 10-15 GUSTS 18KTS. SEAS 2-4 SWELLS NE-N 6-8FT (6). SKIES CLDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS W @ 0.4KTS.
T + 24: E-NE 12-17 GUSTS 22KTS. SEAS 3-5 SWELLS NE-N 6-8FT (6). SKIES CLEAR. CURRENTS WSW @ 0.3KTS.
T + 36: E-NE 12-17 GUSTS 22KTS. SEAS 3-5 SWELLS NE-N 4-7FT (8). SKIES PARTLY CLDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS FROM S @ 0.1KTS.
T + 48: ENE-ESE 10-15 GUSTS 18KTS. SEAS 2-4 SWELLS NE-N 4-7FT (8). SKIES PARTLY CLDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS SW @ 0.4KTS.

JJ:
T + 0: E-NE 07-12KTS. SEAS 1-2 SWELLS NE-N 4-6FT (8). SKIES CLEAR. CURRENTS WNW @ 0.3KTS.
T + 12: NE-N 07-12KTS. SEAS 1-2 SWELLS NE-N 4-6FT (8). SKIES MOSTLY CLDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS NNW @ 0.7KTS.
T + 24: NNE-NNW 07-12KTS. SEAS 1-2 SWELLS NE-N 3-5FT (7). SKIES PARTLY CLDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS N @ 0.5KTS.
T + 36: N-NE 07-12KTS. SEAS 1-2 SWELLS NE-N 3-5FT (8). SKIES PARTLY CLDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS N @ 0.4KTS.
T + 48: NNE-ENE 07-12KTS. SEAS 1-2 SWELLS NE-N 3-5FT (8). SKIES PARTLY CLDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS N @ 0.4KTS.
* WINDS AND SEAS HIGHER IN SQUALLS.