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ARC Weather Forecast 21/11/2016



ARC Weather Forecast
21/11/2016

Synopsis: Good morning. A trough of low pressure centered near 20N/35W, extends from NE'rn South America, NE'ward towards the W'rn Canaries. This trough is forecast to remain mostly stationary through the 25, while broadening gradually across the Tropical Atlantic during this time. Thereafter the trough is forecast to lift N'ward and consolidate near 35N/40W through the 27 while merging with a gale to the NW during this time. No tropical development is expected to occur with this trough.High pressure ridging centered near 50N,35W, extends from S'rn Greenland, SE'ward across the Azores towards S'rn Morocco. This area of high pressure ridging is forecast to move slowly SE'ward towards the W'rn Azores through the morning hours of the 24, while weakening as it extends from the Canaries, NW'ward across the Azores, and from there NE'ward across the British Isles towards S'rn Scandinavia. Thereafter the high is forecast to broaden and consolidate over the British Isles through the 25, as a gale develops over Iberia during this time.

Conclusion: Note that highest conditions will be located across Zone CC along the N'rn Half, as this is where the interactions between the high pressure ridge and trough is strongest. E-NE'ly winds across this zone will gradually strengthen over the next 2-3 days, with winds at times potentially gusting near gale force, and swell reaching near 11 feet along the N'rn half within the highest winds. As you travel south along Zone CC towards the trough axis, conditions become more moderate.Along Zones AA/BB: Conditions will build/strengthen from the North gradually over the next 2-3 days, with highest conditions north of the Canaries in Zone AA, and along N'rn Zone BB. Swell within Zone BB will tend to be longer in period though will reach near 10 feet by tomorrow afternoon within moderate to fresh airs. These higher swell and winds will make their way towards Zone GG by late tomorrow early 23.Zone HH overall, will be the area where conditions will gradually broaden/weaken as a result of the broadening trough over the 2-3 days, with winds and seas primarily SE'ly within this zone.Be advised, within squalls along the trough across the area, expect potentially higher conditions within heavier squalls than forecast below.


T= 21 NOV 0600 UTC


AA:

T + 0:  WINDS NNE-ENE 07-12 GUSTS 17KTS.  SEAS 2-3  SWELLS NW-N  4-6FT  (5S).  SKIES CLDY. CURRENTS ENE @ 0.3KTS.

T + 12:  WINDS NE-N 07-12 GUSTS 17KTS.  SEAS 2-3  SWELLS NNW-WNW  4-6FT  (5S).  SKIES CLDY. CURRENTS NNE @ 0.2KTS.

T + 24:  WINDS NNE-NNW 07-12 GUSTS 15KTS.  SEAS 2-3 SWELLS NNW-WNW  5-7FT  (5S).  SKIES CLDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS NNW @ 0.2KTS.

T + 36:  WINDS NNE-NNW 10-15 GUSTS 17KTS.  SEAS 2-3 SWELLS NNW-WNW  5-7FT  (5S).  SKIES CLDY. CURRENTS NNW @ 0.6KTS.

T + 48:  WINDS N-NE 12-17 GUSTS 20KTS.  SEAS 2-3  SWELLS NW-N  5-7FT  (5S).  SKIES MOSTLY CLDY. CURRENTS NNE @ 0.5KTS.


BB:

T + 0:  WINDS NE-E 07-12 GUSTS 15KTS.  SEAS 2-3  SWELLS NNW-NNE  4-6FT  (7S).  SKIES CLDY. CURRENTS S @ 0.4KTS.

T + 12:  WINDS ENE-NNE 07-12 GUSTS 15KTS.  SEAS 2-3 SWELLS NNW-NNE  5-7FT  (7S).  SKIES CLDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS SSW @ 0.2KTS.

T + 24:  WINDS NE-N INCREASE 10-20 GUSTS 24KTS.  SEAS 2-5 SWELLS NNW-NNE  5-7FT  (7S).  SKIES PARTLY CLDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS SSW @ 0.3KTS.

T + 36:  WINDS NNE-ENE 17-22 GUSTS 27KTS.  SEAS 3-5 SWELLS NNW-NNE  BUILD 7-11FT  (7S).  SKIES MOSTLY CLDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS SE @ 0.2KTS.

T + 48:  WINDS NNE-ENE 15-20 GUSTS 25KTS.  SEAS 3-5 SWELLS NNW-NNE  8-10FT  (7S).  SKIES PARTLY CLDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS SSE @ 0.2KTS.


CC:

T + 0:  WINDS NE-E 10-15 GUSTS 20KTS.  SEAS 3-4  SWELLS NNE-ENE  5-7FT  (6S).  SKIES PARTLY CLDY. SCATTERED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS NE @ 0.1KTS.

T + 12:  WINDS ENE-ESE 13-18 GUSTS 22KTS.  SEAS 3-4 SWELLS ENE-ESE  6-8FT  (6S).  SKIES MOSTLY CLDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS ESE @ 0.6KTS.

T + 24:  WINDS E-NE 17-22 GUSTS 27KTS.  SEAS 3-5  SWELLS E-NE  7-10FT  (6S).  SKIES CLDY.  SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS ENE @ 0.3KTS.

T + 36:  WINDS E-NE 21-26 GUSTS 31KTS.  SEAS 4-6  SWELLS E-NE  8-11FT  (6S).  SKIES CLDY.  SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS ESE @ 0.5KTS.

T + 48:  WINDS ENE-ESE 20-25 GUSTS 35KTS.  SEAS 4-7 SWELLS E-NE  8-11FT  (7S).  SKIES CLDY. SCATTERED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS E @ 0.4KTS.


HH:

T + 0:  WINDS E-SE 12-17 GUSTS 22KTS.  SEAS 3-4  SWELLS SE-S  5-7FT  (8S).  SKIES CLDY. SCATTERED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS NW @ 0.2KTS.

T + 12:  WINDS ESE-SSE 10-15 GUSTS 20KTS.  SEAS 3-4 SWELLS SE-S  5-7FT  (8S).  SKIES CLDY PATCHY FOG. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS WSW @ 0.4KTS.

T + 24:  WINDS SE-S 10-15 GUSTS 20KTS.  SEAS 3-4  SWELLS SE-S  5-7FT  (8S).  SKIES CLDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS NW @ 0.3KTS.

T + 36:  WINDS SSE-SSW 07-12 GUSTS 17KTS.  SEAS 2-3 SWELLS SE-S  5-7FT  (8S).  SKIES PARTLY CLDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS SSW @ 0.2KTS.

T + 48:  WINDS S-SW 07-12 GUSTS 17KTS.  SEAS 2-3  SWELLS SSE-ESE  5-7FT  (8S).  SKIES PARTLY CLDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS W @ 0.4KTS.


GG:

T + 0:  WINDS NNE-ENE 12-17 GUSTS 20KTS.  SEAS 3-4  SWELLS SE-E/MIXED/NE  4-6FT  (5S).  SKIES CLDY. CURRENTS NNE @ 0.7KTS.

T + 12:  WINDS NE-N 10-15 GUSTS 17KTS.  SEAS 2-3  SWELLS NE-N  4-6FT  (5S).  SKIES CLDY. SCATTERED SHWRS. CURRENTS E @ 0.4KTS.

T + 24:  WINDS NE-N 10-15 GUSTS 17KTS.  SEAS 2-3  SWELLS NNE-NNW  4-6FT  (5S).  SKIES CLDY. SCATTERED SHWRS. CURRENTS N @ 0.5KTS.

T + 36:  WINDS NNE-ENE 11-16 GUSTS 19KTS.  SEAS 2-4 SWELLS N-NE  4-6FT  (5S).  SKIES MOSTLY CLDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS NE @ 1KTS.

T + 48:  WINDS NNE-ENE 11-16 GUSTS 19KTS.  SEAS 3-4 SWELLS N-NE  4-6FT  (5S).  SKIES CLDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS ENE @ 0.5KTS.

* WINDS AND SEAS HIGHER IN SQUALLS